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CTSCTS CorporationBuy Wait5.7·$62.70+1.90%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score has delivered earnings beats in three of the four most recent quarters — but the stock has overshot the analyst consensus fair value by roughly 26%, sits within 0.9% of the technical take-profit resistance, and produces a risk/reward of 0.13, making the current entry deeply unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Compounder Wide MoatStable
  • Earnings Beat Delivery RecordImproving
  • Price Overshot Analyst Fair ValueStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CTS Corporation (CTS) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $58.75. Insider activity concern; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $62.70. Engine's entry $58.75 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation... Read more

$62.70-21.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#16 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.25%(5y avg 0.38%)Payout6.69%sustainable
Entry $58.75(support + ATR (held))Stop $53.91Target $64.88(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$58.00-7.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $58.75. Insider activity concern; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $62.70. Engine's entry $58.75 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, news boost earnings 0.80, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerToyota Motor Corporation11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Toyota Motor Corporation | | 11.2% | | 12.2% | | 12.5%'
  • LOWCustomerCummins, Inc.8.4%
    10-K Item 1: 'Cummins, Inc. | | 8.4% | | 11.7% | | 15.0%'
  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations44%
    10-K Item 1: 'Net sales from non-U.S. operations | | 43.7% | | 42.0% | | 45.0%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Kieran O'Sullivan will step down effective July 6, 2026 to become Executive Chairman; COO Pratik Trivedi named President and CEO effective the same date, a planned succession with a named internal replacement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.3
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesA.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.48%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5NEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.97Resistance $66.20

Price Targets

$54
$59
$65
A.Upside-21.4%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $58.75. Insider activity concern; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $62.70. Engine's entry $58.75 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $64.88 (+3.5%), stop $53.91 (−16.3%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.88 (-21.4% upside). Target $64.88 (+3.5%), stop $53.91 (−16.3%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Stop-loss: $53.91.

What are the risks of investing in CTS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is CTS overvalued or undervalued?

CTS Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CTS?

8 analysts cover CTS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $58.

What does CTS Corporation do?CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and...

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation customers, with Toyota Motor Corporation and Cummins, Inc. its two largest named customers at 11.2% and 8.4% of net sales, respectively, and non-U.S. operations contributing 43.7% of net sales.

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