Skip to main content
MATWMatthews International CorporatSell4.9·$19.02
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Matthews International screens with a favorable risk-reward setup and exceptional cash conversion, but a sharp revenue decline and elevated bearish options and short positioning keep the quality-floor exit signal in place.

Thesis pillars

  • Favorable Risk Reward→Stable
  • Sharp Revenue Decline→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 21, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Matthews International Corporat (MATW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.02: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 8.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment sales backlogs vary in a range of four to six months of sales. Backlogs vary in a range of approximately nine to twelve months of sales for mausoleums. Backlogs are... Read more

$19.02+40.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 15 Conglomerates
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.46%
IncomeYield5.36%(5y avg 3.18%)Payout348.28%at-risk
Stop $18.08Analyst target $26.63(−15% haircut)A.R:R 8.0:1
Analyst consensus$31.33+64.7%3 analysts
$26.63Analyst target
$19.02price
$31.33mean
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.02: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 8.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Matthews International Corporat

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On September 28, 2026, each of Katherine E. Dietze and Morgan K.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$594M
EV/EBITDA26.9
Profit Mgn-2.7%
ROE-5.9%
Rev Growth-29.6%
Beta1.04
Dividend5.36%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV72%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On September 28, 2026, each of Katherine E. Dietze and Morgan K.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously announced, on July 29, 2026, Joseph C.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 29, 2026, Joseph C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
6.3
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
5.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 8.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.42Resistance $19.84

Price Targets

$18
$27
A.Upside+40.0%
A.R:R8.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MATW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.02: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 8.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $18.08. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MATW stock price target?

Analyst target: $26.63 (+40.0% upside). Prior stop was $18.08. Stop-loss: $18.08.

What are the risks of investing in MATW?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is MATW overvalued or undervalued?

Matthews International Corporat trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MATW?

9 analysts cover MATW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Matthews International Corporat do?The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment...

The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment sales backlogs vary in a range of four to six months of sales. Backlogs vary in a range of approximately nine to twelve months of sales for mausoleums. Backlogs are generally in excess of a year for purpose-built machinery projects.

Related stocks: PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) · SEB (Seaboard Corporation) · BBUC (Brookfield Business Corporation) · GHC (Graham Holdings Company) · TRC (Tejon Ranch Co)
Home › Stocks › MATW

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga28d agoRestructuring
Benzinga69d ago
Benzinga79d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga83d ago
Benzinga84d ago
Benzinga86d agoRestructuring