Matthews International screens with a favorable risk-reward setup and exceptional cash conversion, but a sharp revenue decline and elevated bearish options and short positioning keep the quality-floor exit signal in place.
Thesis pillars
- Favorable Risk Reward↑Improving
- Sharp Revenue Decline→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Matthews International Corporat (MATW) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.27: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment sales backlogs vary in a range of four to six months of sales. Backlogs vary in a range of approximately nine to twelve months of sales for mausoleums. Backlogs are... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.27: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 11, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-23Recent Developments — Matthews International Corporat
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Aug 11, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously announced, on July 29, 2026, Joseph C.
- 8K Aug 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 29, 2026, Joseph C.
Latest news
- NEWS Truist Securities Initiates Coverage On Matthews International with Hold Rating, Announces Price Target of $24 — benzinga Aug 21, 2026
- NEWS Matthews International Names Michael J. Whitehead As President And CEO, Succeeding Joseph C. Bartolacci — benzinga Aug 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Matthews International Q3 Adj. EPS $0.06 Misses $0.41 Estimate, Sales $246.016M Miss $264.550M Estimate — benzinga Aug 6, 2026 negative
- NEWS Matthews International President, CEO Joseph C. Bartolacci Plans To Retire — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-08-23T02:21:54Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-11Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously announced, on July 29, 2026, Joseph C.SEC filing →
- 2026-08-04Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 29, 2026, Joseph C.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.27: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 11, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $20.53. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.75 (+39.9% upside). Prior stop was $20.53. Stop-loss: $20.53.
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).
Matthews International Corporat trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover MATW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $35.
What does Matthews International Corporat do?The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment...
The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment sales backlogs vary in a range of four to six months of sales. Backlogs vary in a range of approximately nine to twelve months of sales for mausoleums. Backlogs are generally in excess of a year for purpose-built machinery projects.