Matthews International screens with a favorable risk-reward setup and exceptional cash conversion, but a sharp revenue decline and elevated bearish options and short positioning keep the quality-floor exit signal in place.
Thesis pillars
- Favorable Risk Reward→Stable
- Sharp Revenue Decline→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Matthews International Corporat (MATW) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.21: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.
The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment sales backlogs vary in a range of four to six months of sales. Backlogs vary in a range of approximately nine to twelve months of sales for mausoleums. Backlogs are... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.21: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -39.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.21: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.39. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $32.30 (+23.2% upside). Prior stop was $24.39. Stop-loss: $24.39.
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).
Matthews International Corporat trades at a P/E of 88.4 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover MATW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $38.
What does Matthews International Corporat do?The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment...
The Company's current backlog is expected to be mostly filled in fiscal 2026. Cremation and incineration equipment sales backlogs vary in a range of four to six months of sales. Backlogs vary in a range of approximately nine to twelve months of sales for mausoleums. Backlogs are generally in excess of a year for purpose-built machinery projects.