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LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc.Sell6.2·$38.63+2.66%
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Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (LOB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Live Oak Banking Company that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, including noninterest-bearing demand, as well as interest-bearing... Read more

$38.63-0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#37 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.31%(5y avg 0.33%)Payout4.58%sustainable
Stop $36.41Target $38.46(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$42.75+10.7%4 analysts
$38.46our TP
$38.63price
$42.75mean
$47

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.6%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth33.5%
Beta1.90
Dividend0.31%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$35-9.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.36Resistance $39.24

Price Targets

$36
$38
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $36.41. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LOB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.46 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $36.41. Stop-loss: $36.41.

What are the risks of investing in LOB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LOB overvalued or undervalued?

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LOB?

9 analysts cover LOB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. do?Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Live Oak Banking Company that provides various...

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Live Oak Banking Company that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, including noninterest-bearing demand, as well as interest-bearing checking, money market, savings, and time deposits. It also provides commercial and industrial loans; construction and development loans; owner occupied and non-owner occupied collateral commercial real estate loans; and commercial land loans. In addition, the company offers settlement, accounting, and securitization services for government guaranteed loans; financing for renewable energy application industry; strategic wealth and investment management services to high-net-worth individuals and families; and investment advisory services to a series of funds focused on providing venture capital to new and emerging financial technology companies. Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.

Related stocks: NIC (Nicolet Bankshares Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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