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LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.Sell6.1·$122.14+0.05%
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Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $122.14: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%).

Leidos is a U.S. government-focused IT services, engineering, and technology company with ~47,000 employees, generating 87% of revenues from U.S. government contracts. It operates four segments: National Security & Digital (44% of revenues), Health & Civil (30%), Commercial &... Read more

$122.14+35.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.78%
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout15.19%sustainable
Stop $117.15Target $164.94(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.6:1
Analyst target$183.27+50.0%15 analysts
$164.94our TP
$122.14price
$183.27mean
$225

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $122.14: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 35%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE30.6%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.52
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government87%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues from contracts with the U.S. government... generated approximately 87% of our total revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023'
  • HIGHCustomerDoW and U.S. Intelligence Community49%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues under contracts with the DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community... represented approximately 49% of our total revenues for fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    Leidos stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan and 2026 Employee Stock Purchase Plan at the May 1, 2026 Annual Meeting. No officer departure or appointment involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 5.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $120.77Resistance $134.00

Price Targets

$117
$165
A.Upside+35.0%
A.R:R5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts25
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$183

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LDOS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $122.14: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $117.15. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LDOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $164.94 (+35.5% upside). Prior stop was $117.15. Stop-loss: $117.15.

What are the risks of investing in LDOS?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is LDOS overvalued or undervalued?

Leidos Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LDOS?

25 analysts cover LDOS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $183.

What does Leidos Holdings, Inc. do?Leidos is a U.S. government-focused IT services, engineering, and technology company with ~47,000 employees, generating...

Leidos is a U.S. government-focused IT services, engineering, and technology company with ~47,000 employees, generating 87% of revenues from U.S. government contracts. It operates four segments: National Security & Digital (44% of revenues), Health & Civil (30%), Commercial & International (13%), and Defense Systems (13%).

Related stocks: FIS (Fidelity National Information S) · GDS (GDS Holdings Limited) · FORTY (Formula Systems (1985) Ltd.) · G (Genpact Limited) · SAIC (Science Applications Internatio)
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