St. Joe Company (The) (JOE) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $64.92: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties (87.0%).
St. Joe is a Florida-based real estate developer and operator with 165,000 acres in Northwest Florida, concentrated in Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties. Revenue is earned through residential homesite sales to homebuilders, hospitality operations (hotels, Watersound Club golf,... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $64.92: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties (87.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-13Recent Developments — St. Joe Company (The)
Latest news
- NEWS St. Joe’s extends hot streak with its first Liberty Bell Classic championship since 2016 - Inquirer.com — Inquirer.com neutral
- NEWS “American Pie” premieres at St. Joe’s in 1971 - sjuhawknews.com — sjuhawknews.com neutral
- NEWS St. Joe (NYSE:JOE) Share Price Passes Above 200-Day Moving Average - Time to Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS St. Joe’s vs. Penn: Liberty Bell Classic Championship at Citizens Bank Park - Inquirer.com — Inquirer.com neutral
- NEWS St Joe : to Announce First Quarter 2026 Results and Hold Earnings Call for the First Quarter - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicFlorida Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties87%10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 87% of our real estate is located in Florida's Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties.'
- MEDIUMcounterpartyLatitude Margaritaville Watersound JV10-K Item 1A: 'our equity in income from the unconsolidated Latitude Margaritaville Watersound JV accounted for over 20% of our pre-tax income'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $64.92: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties (87.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $62.30. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $64.62 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $62.30. Stop-loss: $62.30.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties (87.0%); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.6/10.
St. Joe Company (The) trades at a P/E of 33.6 (forward 590.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover JOE with a consensus score of 2.3/5.
What does St. Joe Company (The) do?St. Joe is a Florida-based real estate developer and operator with 165,000 acres in Northwest Florida, concentrated in...
St. Joe is a Florida-based real estate developer and operator with 165,000 acres in Northwest Florida, concentrated in Bay, Gulf, and Walton counties. Revenue is earned through residential homesite sales to homebuilders, hospitality operations (hotels, Watersound Club golf, marinas), and commercial property development and leasing. Approximately 87% of real estate is in those three counties, with ~90% within 15 miles of the Gulf of America.