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Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. At $16.32, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: Southeast region of the United States.

Independence Realty Trust is a REIT owning and operating 114 multifamily apartment properties with 33,462 units in Southeastern and Midwestern US non-gateway markets as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rental income; its value-add strategy renovates properties to drive... Read more

$16.32+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#12 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $15.58Target $16.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$18.96+16.2%14 analysts
$16.50our TP
$16.32price
$18.96mean
$22

Sell if holding. At $16.32, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: Southeast region of the United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment sector
Concentration risk — Geographic: Southeast region of the United States
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)81.5
P/E (Fwd)95.9
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE1.4%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily apartment sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily apartment sector'
  • HIGHGeographicSoutheast region of the United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our portfolio of properties consists primarily of multifamily communities geographically concentrated in the Southeast region of the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-11Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (January 2025) terminated and replaced by Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement dated February 11, 2026. New $350M term loan (Feb 2030 maturity) added; proceeds repay prior $200M 2026 Term Loan.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP, General Counsel Michele Weisbaum to retire ~March 31, 2026. Consulting arrangement approved at $30,000/month through December 31, 2026 for transition assistance. Departure not due to disagreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
5.8

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.99Resistance $16.52

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $16.32, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: Southeast region of the United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $15.58. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.50 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $15.58. Stop-loss: $15.58.

What are the risks of investing in IRT?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: Southeast region of the United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is IRT overvalued or undervalued?

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 81.5 (forward 95.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IRT?

18 analysts cover IRT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Independence Realty Trust, Inc. do?Independence Realty Trust is a REIT owning and operating 114 multifamily apartment properties with 33,462 units in...

Independence Realty Trust is a REIT owning and operating 114 multifamily apartment properties with 33,462 units in Southeastern and Midwestern US non-gateway markets as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rental income; its value-add strategy renovates properties to drive rent increases.

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