Ingersoll Rand presents an unusually strong balance sheet — perfect financial health score and free cash flow conversion of 176% — but the current price geometry offers only 9.3% upside against 11.3% potential downside, and the stock remains in a confirmed near-term downtrend, making the setup unfavorable until asymmetry improves.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Balance Sheet Quality→Stable
- Unfavorable Reward Risk Geometry→Stable
- Early Signs Of Momentum Recovery↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors.
Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling equipment across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Ingersoll Rand Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand (IR) Stock Looks Pricey As Cash Flow Leaves Little Upside - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand (IR) Stock Looks Pricey As Cash Flow Leaves Little Upside - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com negative
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand (IR) Q2 Earnings: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Offing? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Gear Up for Ingersoll (IR) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T10:27:54Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicrevenues outside the United States58%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, 58% of our revenues were from customers in countries outside of the United States'
- HIGHSuppliersingle-source iron castings and motors10-K Item 1A: 'we use single sources of supply for certain iron castings, motors and other select engineered components that are critical in the manufacturing of our products'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $81.86 (+2.3%), stop $75.13 (−6.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $81.86 (+2.3% upside). Analyst target $81.86 (+2.3%), stop $75.13 (−6.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $75.13.
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Ingersoll Rand Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.9 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
23 analysts cover IR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $94.
What does Ingersoll Rand Inc. do?Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling...
Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling equipment across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services represented 36.5% of 2025 total revenue from an installed base served by over 60 manufacturing facilities and 21,000 employees worldwide. No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 consolidated revenues.