Skip to main content
IDYAIDEAYA Biosciences, Inc.Sell4.5·$28.95+0.38%
Open full analysis

IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. (IDYA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.95: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.22; Below-average business quality.

IDEAYA Biosciences is a clinical-stage precision oncology company developing small-molecule targeted therapies and ADCs for molecularly defined solid tumors, organized around synthetic lethality and DNA damage response mechanisms. Revenue is currently nil from product sales; the... Read more

$28.95+61.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#132 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-2.09%
Stop $26.95Target $46.74(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst target$51.93+79.4%15 analysts
$46.74our TP
$28.95price
$51.93mean
$66

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.95: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.22; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-7.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-10.5
Profit Mgn-62.2%
ROE-14.3%
Rev Growth
Beta-0.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C7.22bearish
IV122%elevated
Max Pain$23-22.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Volatile — 5.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.9
Short Interest
2.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
High short interest justified: 15%Elevated put/call: 7.22High IV: 122%Above max pain $22

Unprofitable operations — net margin -62.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -25% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
5.2
Macd
7.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.81Resistance $31.95

Price Targets

$27
$47
A.Upside+61.5%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDYA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.95: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.22; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $26.95. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.74 (+61.3% upside). Prior stop was $26.95. Stop-loss: $26.95.

What are the risks of investing in IDYA?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is IDYA overvalued or undervalued?

IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IDYA?

25 analysts cover IDYA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $52.

What does IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. do?IDEAYA Biosciences is a clinical-stage precision oncology company developing small-molecule targeted therapies and ADCs...

IDEAYA Biosciences is a clinical-stage precision oncology company developing small-molecule targeted therapies and ADCs for molecularly defined solid tumors, organized around synthetic lethality and DNA damage response mechanisms. Revenue is currently nil from product sales; the company funded primarily through an equity capital base and a $210M upfront from a Servier license for darovasertib outside the US. Nine product candidates are in clinical trials with darovasertib in Phase 2/3 uveal melanoma as the lead.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · TGTX (TG Therapeutics, Inc.)
Home Stocks IDYA

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga6d agoCONCERNEarnings
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga13d agoProduct
Benzinga14d agoFda Decision
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga46d agoFda Decision
Benzinga55d agoProduct
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Benzinga63d ago
Loading more...