Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $62.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Howard Hughes Holdings owns The Howard Hughes Corporation, a mixed-use real estate platform with approximately 101,000 gross acres of master planned communities across five states plus income-producing operating assets. Revenue comes from land sales to homebuilders, commercial... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $62.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicArizona, Texas, Nevada, Maryland10-K Item 1A: 'Many of the properties we own are located in the same or in a limited number of geographic regions, including Arizona, Texas, Hawai'i, Nevada, and Maryland.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 1.01LOWEntered warrant agreement with Mr. Grandisson: purchase of warrants for 1,131,273 shares at 100/share for 10M. Warrants exercisable April 20, 2030, expire April 20, 2031.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-17Item 1.01LOWHHC completed 1B senior notes offering: 500M 5.875% due 2032 and 500M 6.125% due 2034, issued via Rule 144A private placement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -36.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $62.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $59.57. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $76.78 (+23.2% upside). Prior stop was $59.57. Stop-loss: $59.57.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.2 (forward 61.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover HHH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.
What does Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. do?Howard Hughes Holdings owns The Howard Hughes Corporation, a mixed-use real estate platform with approximately 101,000...
Howard Hughes Holdings owns The Howard Hughes Corporation, a mixed-use real estate platform with approximately 101,000 gross acres of master planned communities across five states plus income-producing operating assets. Revenue comes from land sales to homebuilders, commercial property NOI, and condominium sales; in 2025 the company began transitioning to a diversified holding company.