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HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.Sell5.0·$67.59+1.09%
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Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $67.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Howard Hughes Holdings is a real estate developer operating Master Planned Communities (Summerlin, Woodlands, Bridgeland, Teravalis across ~101,000 gross acres in 5 states), Operating Assets (77 properties: 37 office, 13 retail, 18 multifamily), and Strategic Developments... Read more

$67.59+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#3 of 4 Real Estate - Development
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.98%
Stop $64.52Target $76.78(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$90.33+33.6%3 analysts
$76.78our TP
$67.59price
$90.33mean
$100

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $67.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)65.5
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV59%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
    Howard Hughes entered a warrant agreement with Mr. Grandisson on April 20, 2026 to purchase warrants for 1,131,273 shares at $100/share for $10M, exercisable 2030-2031 with transfer restrictions until 2030. Officer compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-17Item 1.01MEDIUM
    HHC (wholly-owned subsidiary) completed a $1B private offering of senior notes: $500M at 5.875% due 2032 and $500M at 6.125% due 2034 on February 17, 2026 to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A/Reg S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
4.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
7.5
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.50Resistance $68.43

Price Targets

$65
$77
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts7
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$90

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HHH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $67.59: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $64.52. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HHH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.78 (+13.5% upside). Prior stop was $64.52. Stop-loss: $64.52.

What are the risks of investing in HHH?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is HHH overvalued or undervalued?

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 65.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HHH?

7 analysts cover HHH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. do?Howard Hughes Holdings is a real estate developer operating Master Planned Communities (Summerlin, Woodlands,...

Howard Hughes Holdings is a real estate developer operating Master Planned Communities (Summerlin, Woodlands, Bridgeland, Teravalis across ~101,000 gross acres in 5 states), Operating Assets (77 properties: 37 office, 13 retail, 18 multifamily), and Strategic Developments including Ward Village condominiums. Revenue comes from MPC land sales to homebuilders, commercial rents, and condo sales; the company is transitioning toward a diversified holding company with a pending ~$2.1B Vantage insurance acquisition.

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