Forestar Group looks cheap on cash flow (price to operating cash flow of 4.7x) with a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but earnings have been soft, lumpy revenue and bearish options positioning cap conviction ahead of results in five days.
Thesis pillars
- Cash Flow Valuation Discount→Stable
- Strong Piotroski Fundamentals→Stable
- Soft Recent Earnings↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 19, 2025
Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.92: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Forestar Group Inc. is a national, well-capitalized residential lot development company focused primarily on making investments in land acquisition and development to sell finished single-family residential lots to homebuilders. Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.92: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Forestar Group Inc
Latest news
- NEWS Forestar Group Inc. Announces Executive Chairman Changes - www.marketscreener.com — www.marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS Forestar Group Inc. Announces Retirement of Donald J. Tomnitz as Executive Chairman and Appointment of Anthony W. Oxley — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Forestar earnings on deck as housing market hits 14-year low - Investing.com Australia — Investing.com Australia negative
- NEWS Forestar earnings on deck as housing market hits 14-year low - Investing.com India — Investing.com India negative
- NEWS Forestar Group (FOR) to report earnings tomorrow: here is what to expect - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.92: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.38. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $28.90 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $24.38. Stop-loss: $24.38.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
Forestar Group Inc trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover FOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $34.
What does Forestar Group Inc do?Forestar Group Inc. is a national, well-capitalized residential lot development company focused primarily on making...
Forestar Group Inc. is a national, well-capitalized residential lot development company focused primarily on making investments in land acquisition and development to sell finished single-family residential lots to homebuilders. Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the NYSE Texas under the ticker symbol "FOR." The listing and trading of the Common Stock on the NYSE Texas commenced on July 1, 2025.