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FORForestar Group IncSell5.2·$29.13-0.24%
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Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.13 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 76).

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national... Read more

$29.13-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#2 of 4 Real Estate - Development
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.88%
Stop $27.45Target $28.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$31.33+7.6%3 analysts
$28.99our TP
$29.13price
$31.33mean
$26
$35

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.13 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 76). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Forestar Group Inc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Margin of safety: 41%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth-3.0%
Beta1.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.89Resistance $29.58

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.13 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 76). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.45. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.99 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $27.45. Stop-loss: $27.45.

What are the risks of investing in FOR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is FOR overvalued or undervalued?

Forestar Group Inc trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FOR?

9 analysts cover FOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Forestar Group Inc do?Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and...

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. Forestar Group Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.

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