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HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure CSell4.1·$38.29+2.57%
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HA Sustainable Infrastructure C (HASI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.1/10.

HASI is a non-REIT investor in sustainable infrastructure (Behind-the-Meter, Grid-Connected, and Fuels/Transport/Nature markets), managing $16.1 billion in assets including a $7.6 billion on-balance-sheet portfolio of over 700 investments across more than 150 clients. Revenue... Read more

$38.29+16.1% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#109 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.41%(5y avg 4.96%)Payout421.25%at-risk
Stop $36.11Target $44.46(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$49.40+29.0%15 analysts
$44.46our TP
$38.29price
$49.40mean
$57

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.1/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.1/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)95.7
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn63.7%
ROE2.3%
Rev Growth-28.3%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.41%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.08bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$50+30.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    HASI adopted the Executive Protection Plan on March 25, 2026, providing severance benefits to CEO (Tier A) and other management employees (Tier B/C) upon qualifying terminations, including change-in-control provisions effective May 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -28.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -28%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
5.2
Best-in-class margins

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.25Resistance $42.10

Price Targets

$36
$44
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HASI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.1/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $36.11. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.

What is the HASI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.46 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $36.11. Stop-loss: $36.11.

What are the risks of investing in HASI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.1/10; Weak growth.

Is HASI overvalued or undervalued?

HA Sustainable Infrastructure C trades at a P/E of 95.7 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HASI?

22 analysts cover HASI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $49.

What does HA Sustainable Infrastructure C do?HASI is a non-REIT investor in sustainable infrastructure (Behind-the-Meter, Grid-Connected, and Fuels/Transport/Nature...

HASI is a non-REIT investor in sustainable infrastructure (Behind-the-Meter, Grid-Connected, and Fuels/Transport/Nature markets), managing $16.1 billion in assets including a $7.6 billion on-balance-sheet portfolio of over 700 investments across more than 150 clients. Revenue comes from interest income, equity method investments, securitization gains, and asset management fees from clean energy and efficiency projects.

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