Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.68: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
The Company is a leading producer of consumer goods packaging made from renewable or recycled materials. The Company designs and manufactures sustainable packaging solutions including cartons, multipack cartons, trays, carriers, paperboard canisters, as well as cups and bowls... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.68: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-11Item 5.02MEDIUMEffective March 8, 2026, the Board of Directors of Graphic Packaging Holding Company (the "Company") appointed Mr. Jeffrey M. Stafeil to the Board of Directors. Mr. Stafeil will serve as one of the Class I Directors, whose terms expire in 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.68: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $8.99. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $9.82 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $8.99. Stop-loss: $8.99.
Target reached (1.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).
Graphic Packaging Holding Compa trades at a P/E of 6.4 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover GPK with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Graphic Packaging Holding Compa do?The Company is a leading producer of consumer goods packaging made from renewable or recycled materials. The Company...
The Company is a leading producer of consumer goods packaging made from renewable or recycled materials. The Company designs and manufactures sustainable packaging solutions including cartons, multipack cartons, trays, carriers, paperboard canisters, as well as cups and bowls made primarily from recycled paperboard, unbleached paperboard and bleached paperboard.