Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $359.80: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Group 1 Automotive operates 145 U.S. dealerships in 17 states and 109 U.K. dealerships in 62 towns, selling new and used vehicles, arranging financing, and providing parts and service. Texas represents 31.6% of U.S. new vehicle unit sales; the U.K. accounts for 27.6% of total... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $359.80: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliervehicle manufacturers10-K Item 1A: 'The success of our business is dependent on vehicle manufacturers on whom we rely exclusively on for our new vehicle inventory'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-03Item 5.02LOWGroup 1 Automotive and CEO Daryl Kenningham entered Second Amendment to Incentive Agreement on March 2, 2026, restructuring severance to 1.5x base+bonus (standard termination) or 2.0x within 6 months of a Corporate Change. Compensatory arrangement only; no departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $359.80: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $335.74. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $374.34 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $335.74. Stop-loss: $335.74.
Concentration risk — Supplier: vehicle manufacturers; Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover GPI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $430.
What does Group 1 Automotive, Inc. do?Group 1 Automotive operates 145 U.S. dealerships in 17 states and 109 U.K. dealerships in 62 towns, selling new and...
Group 1 Automotive operates 145 U.S. dealerships in 17 states and 109 U.K. dealerships in 62 towns, selling new and used vehicles, arranging financing, and providing parts and service. Texas represents 31.6% of U.S. new vehicle unit sales; the U.K. accounts for 27.6% of total new vehicle unit sales. Revenue depends exclusively on OEM franchise relationships for new vehicle inventory.