Value
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.7 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.1 |
| PEG | 5.4 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 24.7x
- ▸PEG: 1.41
GOOG · Why this verdict
Why Alphabet (GOOG) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 9.8 |
| Gross margin | 8.1 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.8 |
| FCF quality | 1.4 |
| Moat | 9.0 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 39%
- ▸Strong margins: 38%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 17% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
8.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.9 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 7.9 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.7 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.8 |
| Analyst rating | 8.6 |
| Price target | 7.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.8 |
| quality rank | 8.8 |
| growth rank | 7.7 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.8 |
| support resistance | 7.6 |
| 52w position | 7.7 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 8.7 |
| volatility | 5.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 3.9 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.1 |
| debt equity | 9.2 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 6.03
- ▸Above max pain $318
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 25.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.41, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:38d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.11
Upside
-0.6%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.3 and growth 8.9 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of -0.11 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.9, Quality at 8.3, and Catalyst at 7.3; the weakest are Value at 4.0, Momentum at 4.7, and Peer rank at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.11 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.