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GLNGGolar LNG LimitedHold6.0·$45.60
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Golar LNG shows strong 72% YoY growth and 26.5% upside to the analyst target, but earnings are expected to decline about 57% from a cyclical peak, cash conversion is a red flag and momentum is weak.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Cyclical Earnings Decline↑Improving
  • Inconsistent Earnings Delivery→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier... Read more

$45.60+26.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#30 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-8.19%
IncomeYield2.19%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout68.66%
Stop $43.18Analyst target $57.66(−13% haircut)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst consensus$66.28+45.3%9 analysts
$57.66Analyst target
$45.60price
$66.28mean
$75

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)72.7
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth72.4%
Beta0.12
Dividend2.19%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
5.6
Macd
6.7
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.3
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.66Resistance $50.45

Price Targets

$43
$58
A.Upside+26.5%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 73x vs trail 31x (2.3x)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLNG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $57.66 (+26.5%), stop $43.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLNG stock price target?

Analyst target: $57.66 (+26.5% upside). Analyst target $57.66 (+26.5%), stop $43.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Stop-loss: $43.18.

What are the risks of investing in GLNG?

Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GLNG overvalued or undervalued?

Golar LNG Limited trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 72.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GLNG?

16 analysts cover GLNG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Golar LNG Limited do?Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The...

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier transportation operations; operation of floating liquefaction natural gas (FLNG) vessels or projects; transportation of LNG carriers; and vessel management activities. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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