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GIBCGI Inc.Hold5.5·$71.69+3.20%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CGI offers excellent cash conversion at 127% of net income and a three-quarter streak of earnings beats at a single-digit forward multiple, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average declining at 5.3% per month and persistently weak revenue growth limit the appeal of establishing or adding to a position until the technical picture improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beats At Low MultipleStable
  • Weak Growth Limits Multiple ExpansionImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CGI Inc. (GIB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.05% of cap).

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers... Read more

$71.69-15.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#31 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield14.62%
IncomeYield0.72%Payout8.36%sustainable
Entry $64.00(support + ATR)Stop $60.97Target $71.32(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$71.45-0.3%3 analysts
$71.32our TP
$71.69price
$71.45mean
$62
$84

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.05% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $71.71 has reached target $71.32. No upside to wait for. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$14.5B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.17
Dividend0.72%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$85+18.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
3.5
Gap
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Earnings Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.86Resistance $72.78

Price Targets

$61
$64
$71
A.Upside-15.3%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.3% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.05% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $71.71 has reached target $71.32. No upside to wait for. Target $71.32 (-0.5%), stop $60.97 (−17.6%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.32 (-15.3% upside). Target $71.32 (-0.5%), stop $60.97 (−17.6%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $60.97.

What are the risks of investing in GIB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is GIB overvalued or undervalued?

CGI Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GIB?

21 analysts cover GIB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $71.

What does CGI Inc. do?CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United...

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers end-to-end services and solutions, including business and strategic IT consulting; systems integration, such as data integration, AI and automation integration, cloud integration, Internet of Things, enterprise application integration, application programming interface integration, and legacy system modernization; managed IT and business process; and application services comprising application management, DevSecOps, application modernization and rationalization, and quality engineering and assurance. The company also provides infrastructure services, which include legacy infrastructure modernization, cloud and hybrid infrastructure management, IT service management, FinOps-enabled cloud management, cyber resilience and compliance, site reliability engineering and AIOps, and infrastructure-as-code; and intellectual property business solutions. It serves banking and capital markets, communications and media, energy and utilities, government, health, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, retail and consumer services, space, transportation, and logistics industries. The company was formerly known as CGI Group Inc. and changed its name to CGI Inc. in January 2019. CGI Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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