Value
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.8 |
| P/S | 9.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.9x
- ▸PEG: 0.03
- ▸Attractively valued
GFF · Why this verdict
Why Griffon (GFF) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.6 |
| ROA | 8.3 |
| Gross margin | 4.3 |
| Op margin | 8.1 |
| Net margin | 0.1 |
| Current ratio | 9.6 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 5.0 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 29%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 798% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
2.2/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.2 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -1%
Momentum
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 7.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.0 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 36%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.0 |
| quality rank | 4.1 |
| growth rank | 2.6 |
Technical
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.5 |
| support resistance | 1.8 |
| 52w position | 7.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.7 |
| days to cover | 7.4 |
| volatility | 4.6 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.2 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.5 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸High IV: 61%
- ▸Above max pain $70
Catalyst
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.6 |
| dividend safety | 4.2 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.70
Upside
+18.1%
Downside
10.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.38>1.3, MCap $3.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.70 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.2, Quality at 7.0, and Sentiment at 6.5; the weakest are Growth at 2.2, Peer rank at 2.7, and Technical at 4.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.70 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.