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FERFerrovial N.V.Sell4.2·$67.98+0.94%
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Ferrovial N.V. (FER) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Ferrovial N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of highways and airports in the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Construction, Highways,... Read more

$67.98+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#29 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.66%
IncomeYield2.44%(5y avg 2.04%)Payout74.93%
Stop $65.02Target $68.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$77.31+13.7%3 analysts
$68.20our TP
$67.98price
$77.31mean
$93

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Ferrovial N.V.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.6
P/E (Fwd)45.5
Mkt Cap$48.6B
EV/EBITDA39.3
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE14.3%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta0.80
Dividend2.44%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$50-26.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
5.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
2.4
Pe
2.5
Forward Pe
2.5
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
6.9
Forward P/E: 45.5xPEG: 5.19
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.11Resistance $69.59

Price Targets

$65
$68
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FER.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $65.02. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

What is the FER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $68.20 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $65.02. Stop-loss: $65.02.

What are the risks of investing in FER?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is FER overvalued or undervalued?

Ferrovial N.V. trades at a P/E of 49.6 (forward 45.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FER?

26 analysts cover FER with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Ferrovial N.V. do?Ferrovial N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of highways and...

Ferrovial N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of highways and airports in the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy. The company is involved in the development, financing, and operation of toll road infrastructure and construction activities, including the design and construction of public and private works; construction of public infrastructures; and development, financing, investing, and operation of airports. It engages in the development and construction of energy transmission and renewable generation energy infrastructure, as well as rendering of services regarding energy efficiency; and operation of waste management plants. The company was founded in 1952 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga19d ago