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FBINFortune Brands Innovations, IncSell4.7·$43.22+0.61%
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Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FBIN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security. The... Read more

$43.220.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#17 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.28%
IncomeYield2.41%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout44.89%sustainable
Stop $40.24Target $43.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$46.64+7.9%14 analysts
$43.22our TP
$43.22price
$46.64mean
$37
$63

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth-2.1%
Beta1.45
Dividend2.41%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.90bearish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$60+38.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 16, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 1-35166 | | 62-1411546 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | ---|---|--- 1 Horizon Way Building N | | Deerfield, Illinois | | 60015-3888 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) | | (Zip Code) Registrant'...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
3.5
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
8.4
Attractive P/E vs peers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.9
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 241.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.56%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.3>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.11Resistance $44.10

Price Targets

$40
$43
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.56%=heavy

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FBIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $40.24. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FBIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.22 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $40.24. Stop-loss: $40.24.

What are the risks of investing in FBIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is FBIN overvalued or undervalued?

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FBIN?

24 analysts cover FBIN with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc do?Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling,...

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security. The Water segment manufactures, assembles, and sells faucets, accessories, hardware, kitchen sinks, and waste disposals, under the Moen, ROHL, Riobel, Victoria+Albert, Perrin & Rowe, Aqualisa, Shaws, Emtek, Schaub, and SpringWell brands. Its Outdoors segment manufactures and sells fiberglass and steel entry door systems under the Therma-Tru brand; storm, screen, and security doors under the Larson brand; composite decking, railing and cladding under the Fiberon brand; urethane millwork under the Fypon brand; and wide-opening exterior door systems and outdoor enclosures under the Solar Innovations brand. The Security segment offers locks, safety and security devices, connected and mechanical lock out tag out solutions, and electronic security under the Master Lock, American Lock, and Yale and August brands; and fire-resistant safes, security containers, and commercial cabinets under the SentrySafe brand. The company sells its products through various sales channels, including kitchen and bath dealers; wholesalers oriented toward builders or professional remodelers; industrial and locksmith distributors; do-it-yourself remodeling-oriented home centers; showrooms; e-commerce; and other retail outlets. Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

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