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EXPOExponent, Inc.Sell5.3·$57.03+0.72%
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Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing... Read more

$57.03+25.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.69%
IncomeYield2.15%(5y avg 1.18%)Payout56.54%sustainable
Stop $51.45Target $69.42(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$81.67+43.2%3 analysts
$69.42our TP
$57.03price
$81.67mean
$90

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.5
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn19.8%
ROE27.9%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.73
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV114%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** Appointment of John D. Pye, Ph.D. On April 6, 2026, Exponent, Inc.'s (the "Company") board of directors (the "Board") appointed Dr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
8.2
Best-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.98Resistance $60.42

Price Targets

$51
$69
A.Upside+21.7%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $51.45. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.42 (+25.5% upside). Prior stop was $51.45. Stop-loss: $51.45.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Exponent, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.5 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXPO?

10 analysts cover EXPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Exponent, Inc. do?Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90...

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing accidents and failures to advise clients as they innovate their technologically complex products and processes, ensure the safety and health of their users, and address the challenges o

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