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ETOReToro Group Ltd.Sell4.9·$38.52-1.31%
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eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The... Read more

$38.52+30.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#32 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $36.29Target $50.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$55.87+45.0%15 analysts
$50.28our TP
$38.52price
$55.87mean
$90

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE21.0%
Rev Growth-35.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.80bearish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Revenue shrinking — -35.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
6.9
Declining revenue: -36%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
4.1
Value Rank
7.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.9
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.41Resistance $43.31

Price Targets

$36
$50
A.Upside+30.5%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $36.29. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ETOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.28 (+30.5% upside). Prior stop was $36.29. Stop-loss: $36.29.

What are the risks of investing in ETOR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is ETOR overvalued or undervalued?

eToro Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETOR?

21 analysts cover ETOR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $56.

What does eToro Group Ltd. do?eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities,...

eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The company also operates eToro Club, a membership program providing a range of services and tools to enhance a user's investment experience; eToro Academy, an education hub to improve users' understanding of financial markets; and eToro Money, a money management solution that enables users to make deposits and withdrawals, as well as to trade local stocks in local currencies. In addition, it provides various investment tools and services, including charting and analysis tools and extended-hours trading. Further, the company offers CopyTrader, Pro Investor, and Smart Portfolios program to follow and replicate the trading activities of other users or portfolios. eToro Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bnei Brak, Israel.

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