Value
9.1/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.6 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.49
- ▸Attractively valued
ETOR · Why this verdict
Why eToro Group (ETOR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.1 |
| Net margin | 1.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.6 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
3.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 6.9 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -36%
Momentum
2.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 5.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.3 |
| Price target | 9.4 |
| erm sentiment | 4.5 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 45%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $6,555,855 (0.211% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.6 |
| quality rank | 4.1 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.5 |
| support resistance | 8.1 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.5 |
| days to cover | 9.1 |
| volatility | 1.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 3.6 |
| debt equity | 2.6 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.80
Catalyst
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 1.9 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:3.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.3<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
3.33
Upside
+30.5%
Downside
9.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.4 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 9.1) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.3<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.33 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.1, Sentiment at 7.2, and Technical at 5.2; the weakest are Momentum at 2.3, Insider at 3.4, and Peer rank at 3.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.