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EPAMEPAM Systems, Inc.Sell5.7·$96.72-1.35%
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EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $96.72: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.07; Below long-term trend.

EPAM Systems is a global IT services and digital engineering company providing software development, cloud, AI, cybersecurity, data analytics and consulting across financial services, hi-tech, consumer, media and life sciences verticals, with approximately 62,850 employees in... Read more

$96.72+36.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.53%
Stop $89.95Target $132.04(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$146.71+51.7%17 analysts
$132.04our TP
$96.72price
$146.71mean
$235

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $96.72: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.07; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus
Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)6.9
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.07bearish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUkraine and Belarus
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 14,100 of our global delivery, administrative and support personnel were based in Ukraine and Belarus, both of which are involved in or affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    EPAM Board approved a $3,000,000 RSU grant to Viktar Dvorkin (SVP, Global Head of Advanced Engineering) on March 31, 2026, vesting in equal thirds over three years as an incremental retention incentive.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Implied Vol
1.4
Days To Cover
4.9
Beta
5.4
High short interest: 25%Elevated put/call: 2.07High IV: 72%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
4.8
Value Rank
5.6
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.25Resistance $111.36

Price Targets

$90
$132
A.Upside+36.5%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $96.72: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.07; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Prior stop was $89.95. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.04 (+36.5% upside). Prior stop was $89.95. Stop-loss: $89.95.

What are the risks of investing in EPAM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus; Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0).

Is EPAM overvalued or undervalued?

EPAM Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPAM?

26 analysts cover EPAM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $147.

What does EPAM Systems, Inc. do?EPAM Systems is a global IT services and digital engineering company providing software development, cloud, AI,...

EPAM Systems is a global IT services and digital engineering company providing software development, cloud, AI, cybersecurity, data analytics and consulting across financial services, hi-tech, consumer, media and life sciences verticals, with approximately 62,850 employees in 30+ countries. Revenue is primarily from North America and Western Europe; top 10 clients account for 21.6% of revenues, with India and Ukraine/Belarus as the largest delivery centers.

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