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EMREmerson Electric CompanyHold5.5·$170.74
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Emerson Electric carries exceptional business quality — free cash flow at 134% of net income, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and three beats plus one in-line quarter with no misses — but the stock has run to within 0.8% of the analyst price target, leaving minimal near-term upside; existing holders have a well-supported position while fresh entry requires patience for a better setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Generation Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Delivery No Misses→Stable
  • Near Target Limits Fresh Entry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 10, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away).

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process,... Read more

$170.74-7.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#35 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.88%
IncomeYield1.32%(5y avg 1.90%)Payout47.98%sustainable
Stop $162.02Analyst target $157.50(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$175.00+2.5%28 analysts
$170.74price
$175.00mean
$104
$208

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.3% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.4
P/E (Fwd)23.5
Mkt Cap$95.6B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta1.21
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.23bearish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $154.52Resistance $171.25

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $157.50 reached (−7.8%), stop $162.02 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMR stock price target?

Analyst target $157.50 reached (−7.8% from $170.74); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $157.50 reached (−7.8%), stop $162.02 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $162.02.

What are the risks of investing in EMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is EMR overvalued or undervalued?

Emerson Electric Company trades at a P/E of 37.4 (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EMR?

35 analysts cover EMR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $175.

What does Emerson Electric Company do?Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that...

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers optimize operations, protect personnel, reduce emissions and achieve their sustainability goals.

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