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EMNEastman Chemical CompanyBuy Wait5.8·$66.67
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Eastman Chemical screens attractively on price-to-earnings and PEG metrics, but a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, no competitive moat, and revenue declining 5% year-over-year indicate the cheapness reflects genuine fundamental weakness; with less than 1% upside remaining to the analyst price target, the risk/reward offers almost no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Exhausted Upside Near Target↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Deficit Below Minimum→Stable
  • Revenue Contraction Limits Rerating→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $62.52. At $66.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $62.52 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's... Read more

$66.67+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#17 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.15%
IncomeYield5.04%(5y avg 3.63%)Payout87.47%at-risk
Entry $62.52(support + ATR (held))Stop $59.90Target $67.56(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$75.06+12.6%16 analysts
$67.56our TP
$66.67price
$75.06mean
$85

Wait for pullback to $62.52. At $66.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $62.52 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.08
Dividend5.04%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.38bearish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
6.6
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.75Resistance $66.68

Price Targets

$60
$63
$68
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.3% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $62.52. At $66.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $62.52 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $67.56 (+1.3%), stop $59.90 (−11.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.56 (+1.3% upside). Target $67.56 (+1.3%), stop $59.90 (−11.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $59.90.

What are the risks of investing in EMN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is EMN overvalued or undervalued?

Eastman Chemical Company trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EMN?

22 analysts cover EMN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Eastman Chemical Company do?Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad...

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's photographic business and became a public company, incorporated in Delaware, on December 31, 1993.

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