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EMNEastman Chemical CompanySell4.3·$71.84-0.80%
EMN · Why this verdict

Why Eastman Chemical (EMN) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.3
P/S9.7
EV/EBITDA6.2
Fwd P/E9.3
PEG9.3
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 10.2x
  • PEG: 0.61
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE2.2
ROA2.4
Gross margin0.0
Op margin3.9
Net margin2.3
Current ratio5.4
FCF quality7.4
Moat3.1
Piotroski F3.3
  • No competitive moat
  • Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Growth

0.7/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth1.3
EPS growth0.0
  • Declining revenue: -5%

Momentum

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD1.2
OBV1.0
MA position4.0
Volume3.7
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target7.4
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Negligible insider selling — $131,678 (0.002% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

2.8/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank6.9
quality rank3.8
growth rank0.6

Technical

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.0
support resistance5.7
52w position7.4

Risk (lower is worse)

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.0
days to cover6.4
volatility4.8
put call10.0
implied vol3.3
beta6.7
debt equity5.6
  • High IV: 60%

Catalyst

4.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg2.0
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Dividend: 468.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:53d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
0.91
Upside
+5.7%
Downside
6.2%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.9 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.9, Technical at 6.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.3; the weakest are Growth at 0.7, Peer rank at 2.8, and Momentum at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.91 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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