Three consecutive earnings beats were followed by a miss in the most recent quarter, and while the business is the industry growth leader with 63% revenue growth year-over-year, free cash flow is negative, the stock is just below the analyst consensus target with only about 2% upside remaining, and the risk/reward ratio of 0.3-to-1 tilts firmly unfavorable — a setup that favors patience over new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Thin Upside Unfavorable Risk Reward↑Improving
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Earnings Streak Interrupted→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 27, 2026
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $136.17: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.43; Below-average business quality.
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $136.17: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.43; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Dick's Sporting Goods Inc
Latest news
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) Stock Looks Fairly Valued With Strong Returns But Weak Broader Checks - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Did Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS DKS|DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc|Price:211.400|Chg%:+5.800 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) Stock Price Expected to Rise, Jefferies Financial Group Analyst Says - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Why Is Dick's Sporting Goods Stock Falling Wednesday? - Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) - Benzinga — Benzinga negative
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierNike10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $136.17: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.43; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $127.17. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $144.75 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $127.17. Stop-loss: $127.17.
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $161.
What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker...
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases; no other vendor exceeded 10%. The ScoreCard loyalty program's 30 million members account for over 75% of DICK'S Business sales.