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DKSDick's Sporting Goods IncSell5.4·$219.58+2.91%
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Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $219.58 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%).

Dick's Sporting Goods operates specialty retail across two segments: the DICK'S Business (DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, House of Sport, and others) and Foot Locker Business (acquired September 2025), with stores across North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Nike is... Read more

$219.58+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-2.81%
IncomeYield2.34%(5y avg 2.00%)Payout47.59%sustainable
Stop $204.21Target $224.59(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$249.55+13.6%22 analysts
$224.59our TP
$219.58price
$249.55mean
$169
$300

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $219.58 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202677d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$19.1B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth62.7%
Beta1.22
Dividend2.34%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$90-59.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierNike31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases within the DICK'S and Foot Locker Businesses.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $206.74Resistance $237.75

Price Targets

$204
$225
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $219.58 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $204.21. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the DKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $224.59 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $204.21. Stop-loss: $204.21.

What are the risks of investing in DKS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Is DKS overvalued or undervalued?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DKS?

30 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $250.

What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates specialty retail across two segments: the DICK'S Business (DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf...

Dick's Sporting Goods operates specialty retail across two segments: the DICK'S Business (DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, House of Sport, and others) and Foot Locker Business (acquired September 2025), with stores across North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Nike is the largest merchandise vendor at ~31% of consolidated purchases; digital channels fulfilled 80%+ of online U.S. sales.

Related stocks: MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · FIVE (Five Below, Inc.) · BBWI (Bath & Body Works, Inc.) · GME (GameStop Corporation) · MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.)
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