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DDDuPont de Nemours, Inc.Sell5.8·$138.68
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

DuPont has maintained a four-quarter earnings beat streak with average surprises near 9%, but a quality score just below the investable floor, negative free cash flow, and a risk/reward ratio of 0.78 that fails to clear the minimum threshold combine to keep the setup outside investable criteria.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Risk Reward Ratio→Stable
  • Quality Just Below Investable Floor→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $138.68, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Throughout this Annual Report on Form 10-K, except as otherwise noted by the context, the terms "DuPont" or "Company" used herein mean DuPont de Nemours, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries.

$138.68+7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#16 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.80%
IncomeYield1.74%(5y avg 2.01%)Payout81.45%at-risk
Stop $133.28Analyst target $148.92(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst consensus$165.47+19.3%17 analysts
$148.92Analyst target
$138.68price
$165.47mean
$186

Sell if holding. At $138.68, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$18.7B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE1.8%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta1.08
Dividend1.74%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV39%normal
Max Pain$75-45.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $127.55Resistance $138.89

Price Targets

$133
$149
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $138.68, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $133.28. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DD stock price target?

Analyst target: $148.92 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $133.28. Stop-loss: $133.28.

What are the risks of investing in DD?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is DD overvalued or undervalued?

DuPont de Nemours, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DD?

26 analysts cover DD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $165.

What does DuPont de Nemours, Inc. do?Throughout this Annual Report on Form 10-K, except as otherwise noted by the context, the terms "DuPont" or "Company"...

Throughout this Annual Report on Form 10-K, except as otherwise noted by the context, the terms "DuPont" or "Company" used herein mean DuPont de Nemours, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries.

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