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DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.Hold5.7·$86.40+1.18%
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Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Donaldson Company manufactures filtration products through three segments — Mobile Solutions (62.1% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Industrial Solutions (29.9%), and Life Sciences (8.0%) — serving OEMs and industrial end users from more than 150 locations on six continents. Revenue... Read more

$86.40+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.02%
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 1.49%)Payout32.35%sustainable
Entry $79.41(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $75.09Target $85.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$96.80+12.0%5 analysts
$85.89our TP
$86.40price
$96.80mean
$79
$123

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $86.40 has reached target $85.89. No upside to wait for. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Donaldson Company, Inc.

About Donaldson Company, Inc.

Donaldson Company's Mobile Solutions segment generated 62.1% of fiscal 2025 net sales, Industrial Solutions 29.9%, and Life Sciences 8.0%, from operations at more than 150 locations on six continents. The U.S. and Canada represented 44.2% of fiscal 2025 revenue, EMEA 27.8%, APAC 17.2%, and Latin America 10.8%. About 15,000 full-time employees support the platform, and 90-day backlog stood at $552.2 million as of July 31, 2025, compared to $574.7 million a year earlier.

Donaldson earns revenue from OEM equipment sales and aftermarket replacement filters distributed through OEM dealer networks and independent distributors, alongside direct industrial sales. Mobile Solutions — spanning Off-Road, On-Road, and Aftermarket business units — serves construction, mining, agriculture, and transportation OEMs; the Aftermarket unit provides recurring replacement filter demand from existing installed equipment. Industrial Solutions sells through OEM, distributor, and direct channels serving metals, chemicals, food and beverage, and pharmaceutical markets. Life Sciences targets large OEMs and direct end users in bioprocessing, microelectronics, and food manufacturing. Purchased raw materials — steel, filter media, and petrochemical-based products — represent approximately 67% of cost of sales, and the 10-K discloses that the company often concentrates sourcing of some materials from single or few suppliers, which could expose operations to delivery disruptions if those suppliers fail to meet requirements.

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Donaldson's supply chain faces compounding risk from two directions. The 10-K states that new tariffs on imports from Mexico, China, and the EU — if "implemented and sustained for an extended period of time" — could materially affect the company's supply chain and cost structure given its international manufacturing footprint. At the same time, the electrification of off-road and on-road equipment may reduce long-term demand for diesel-related filtration products; the company acknowledges these disruptive technologies could adversely affect its Mobile Solutions segment if adoption accelerates faster than Donaldson can reposition toward alternative power filtration offerings.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Donaldson Company, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE27.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.95
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicU.S. and Canada44%
    10-K Item 1: 'the U.S. and Canada 44.2%; Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) 27.8%; Asia Pacific (APAC) 17.2%; and Latin America (LATAM) 10.8%'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.3
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $79.61Resistance $87.64

Price Targets

$75
$79
$86
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DCI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $86.40 has reached target $85.89. No upside to wait for. Target $85.89 (-0.6%), stop $75.09 (−15.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.89 (+8.2% upside). Target $85.89 (-0.6%), stop $75.09 (−15.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $75.09.

What are the risks of investing in DCI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is DCI overvalued or undervalued?

Donaldson Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DCI?

12 analysts cover DCI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Donaldson Company, Inc. do?Donaldson Company manufactures filtration products through three segments — Mobile Solutions (62.1% of fiscal 2025 net...

Donaldson Company manufactures filtration products through three segments — Mobile Solutions (62.1% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Industrial Solutions (29.9%), and Life Sciences (8.0%) — serving OEMs and industrial end users from more than 150 locations on six continents. Revenue comes from equipment and replacement filter sales; purchased raw materials represent approximately 67% of cost of sales.

Related stocks: EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · WTS (Watts Water Technologies, Inc.)
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