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CYTKCytokinetics, IncorporatedSell5.3·$69.15+3.10%
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Cytokinetics, Incorporated (CYTK) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.15: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Cytokinetics is a biopharmaceutical company that discovered and developed MYQORZO (aficamten), a cardiac myosin inhibitor FDA-approved in December 2025 for symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM). Commercial sales in the United States began in Q1 2026, with... Read more

$69.15+36.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#56 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.18%
Stop $64.63Target $94.23(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$104.70+51.4%20 analysts
$94.23our TP
$69.15price
$104.70mean
$146

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.15: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cytokinetics, Incorporated

About Cytokinetics, Incorporated

MYQORZO (aficamten), Cytokinetics' cardiac myosin inhibitor for symptomatic oHCM, received FDA approval in December 2025, European Commission approval in February 2026, and China NMPA approval in December 2025 — making it the company's first and only commercial product. U.S. commercial sales launched around January 27, 2026, with Germany commercialization targeted for Q2 2026 to be followed by other major European countries; Sanofi holds commercialization rights in China under a license agreement, and Bayer holds Japan rights under a separate collaboration and license agreement.

Cytokinetics targets a concentrated specialist prescriber base — approximately 10,000 cardiologists in the United States diagnose and initiate treatment for HCM, spanning academic centers of excellence and community cardiology settings. Revenue from MYQORZO comes from prescription sales subject to reimbursement negotiations with Medicare, Medicaid, commercial insurers, VA, DoD, and TriCare. The company has no manufacturing facilities and relies on single-source contract manufacturers for MYQORZO's active pharmaceutical ingredient, finished drug product, and European blister packaging; switching CMOs would require FDA or foreign regulatory re-approval, making the dependency difficult to reduce on short notice. Under a revenue interest agreement, RPI ICAV is entitled to 4.5% of worldwide annual net sales of MYQORZO and any future aficamten-containing products up to $5.0 billion. In September 2025, the United States administration announced plans to impose up to 100% tariffs on imported branded pharmaceutical products, creating potential cost uncertainty for the company's CMO-sourced API and finished goods.

Show full overview

The single largest near-term catalyst is ACACIA-HCM, a Phase 3 trial of aficamten in patients with non-obstructive HCM (nHCM), with top-line data expected in Q2 2026. A positive readout supporting a supplemental NDA would expand the addressable patient population beyond the oHCM-only label. Separately, in January 2026, Cytokinetics submitted a supplemental NDA to include MAPLE-HCM data in the MYQORZO label, with a potential approval expected in Q4 2026 pending standard review. GALACTIC-HF previously resulted in a complete response letter for omecamtiv mecarbil despite meeting its primary endpoint — illustrating that a positive Phase 3 readout does not guarantee regulatory approval.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Cytokinetics, Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: MYQORZO
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source CMOs
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-14.1
Mkt Cap$9.1B
EV/EBITDA-14.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth1125.8%
Beta0.43
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$55-20.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductMYQORZO
    10-K Item 1: 'Our first commercial product is MYQORZO™ (aficamten)...which the FDA approved in December 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source CMOs
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely on single source CMOs for the manufacture of any or all of MYQORZO as a finished drug product and the active pharmaceutical ingredient'
  • HIGHpipelineACACIA-HCM
    10-K Item 1: 'Aficamten continues to be evaluated in ACACIA-HCM, a Phase 3 clinical trial of aficamten in patients with nHCM'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.5
Current Ratio
8.8
Cash-burning: FCF -360% of revenue
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.63Resistance $79.12

Price Targets

$65
$94
A.Upside+36.3%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYTK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.15: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $64.63. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYTK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.23 (+36.3% upside). Prior stop was $64.63. Stop-loss: $64.63.

What are the risks of investing in CYTK?

Concentration risk — Product: MYQORZO; Concentration risk — Supplier: single source CMOs; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is CYTK overvalued or undervalued?

Cytokinetics, Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CYTK?

28 analysts cover CYTK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $105.

What does Cytokinetics, Incorporated do?Cytokinetics is a biopharmaceutical company that discovered and developed MYQORZO (aficamten), a cardiac myosin...

Cytokinetics is a biopharmaceutical company that discovered and developed MYQORZO (aficamten), a cardiac myosin inhibitor FDA-approved in December 2025 for symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM). Commercial sales in the United States began in Q1 2026, with Sanofi holding commercialization rights in China and Bayer in Japan; the company relies entirely on single-source contract manufacturers for all MYQORZO production.

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