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CSRD/B/A CenterspaceSell4.6·$56.46
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

This residential REIT scores below the minimum quality threshold, exhibits momentum at capitulation levels with RSI at 14, and has missed earnings expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of negative 70% — combined with elevated bearish options positioning and a risk/reward of 0.87-to-1, the setup calls for exiting existing positions rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investment Floor→Stable
  • Severe Momentum Deterioration↓Deteriorating
  • Inconsistent Earnings Delivery→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D/B/A Centerspace (CSR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueShortHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-02). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $56.46, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West.

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort... Read more

$56.46-3.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#13 of 15 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.63%
IncomeYield5.46%(5y avg 4.36%)Payout183.33%
Stop $54.30Analyst target $54.69(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$62.86+11.3%7 analysts
$56.46price
$62.86mean
$53
$80

Sell if holding. At $56.46, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — D/B/A Centerspace

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing
Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.8
P/E (Fwd)-156.8
Mkt Cap$999M
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.87
Dividend5.46%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily housing
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily housing sector.'
  • HIGHGeographicMidwest and Mountain West
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our overall operations are concentrated in the Midwest and Mountain West regions of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
2.0
Value Rank
5.9
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.75Resistance $57.79

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $56.46, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $54.30. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the CSR stock price target?

Analyst target $54.69 reached (−3.1% from $56.46); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $54.30. Stop-loss: $54.30.

What are the risks of investing in CSR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CSR overvalued or undervalued?

D/B/A Centerspace trades at a P/E of 44.8 (forward -156.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSR?

13 analysts cover CSR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $63.

What does D/B/A Centerspace do?Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61...

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort Collins, and Salt Lake City metro areas. The company funds growth through an UPREIT structure, an at-the-market equity program, and secured and unsecured debt, distributing approximately 65% of funds from operations to shareholders in 2025.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · JAN (Janus Living, Inc.) · NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc) · IRT (Independence Realty Trust, Inc.)
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