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Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.09: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar energy and battery energy storage products and solutions in Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Recurrent Energy. The Manufacturing Segment... Read more

$16.09-2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#7 of 9 Solar
Stop $14.95Target $15.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$17.74+10.3%11 analysts
$15.76our TP
$16.09price
$17.74mean
$9
$37

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.09: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn-1.9%
ROE-4.4%
Rev Growth-20.0%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV104%elevated
Max Pain$23+39.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
0.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.5
Operating Margin
2.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.1
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -18% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 13 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
7.8
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.83Resistance $16.08

Price Targets

$15
$16
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSIQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.09: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $14.95. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSIQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.76 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.95. Stop-loss: $14.95.

What are the risks of investing in CSIQ?

Target reached (-4.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is CSIQ overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian Solar Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSIQ?

17 analysts cover CSIQ with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Canadian Solar Inc. do?Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar energy and battery energy storage products and...

Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar energy and battery energy storage products and solutions in Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Recurrent Energy. The Manufacturing Segment focuses on manufacturing and selling solar, battery energy storage and other power technology products, and CSI Solar. It also offers standard solar modules, battery storage solutions, solar system kits, such as inverters, racking systems, and other accessories; power electronic products; and engineering, procurement, and construction services, as well as operates battery energy storage projects. The Recurrent Energy Segment develops, builds, sells, and operates solar power and battery energy storage projects; operates solar power plants; and sells electricity and other services. This segment also provides power operation and maintenance services, including monitor, inspects, repair, and replace of plant equipment, and site management and administrative support services for solar projects, as well as asset management services. The company offers power plant level, commercial, household products, inverter, photovoltaic modules; and sells electricity and smart energy. It serves distributors, system integrators, project developers, installers, and EPC companies, as well as caters to utility companies, public utilities, licensed suppliers, corporate offtakers, and commercial, industrial, or government end users primarily under its Canadian Solar brand name. The company sells its products under CSI, CS PowerTech, CSI Solar, Recurrent Energy, e-STORAGE, SolBank, KuBank, and EP Cube brand names. Canadian Solar Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Kitchener, Canada.

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