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CSIQCanadian Solar Inc.Sell3.3·$17.02+1.73%
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Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.02: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar energy and battery energy storage products and solutions in Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Recurrent Energy. The Manufacturing Segment... Read more

$17.02+23.6% A.UpsideScore 3.3/10#9 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-84.02%
Stop $15.82Target $21.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$17.20+1.0%11 analysts
$21.03our TP
$17.02price
$17.20mean
$9
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.02: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Canadian Solar Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-12.1% upside)
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-38.1
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn-1.9%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth-9.9%
Beta1.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV107%elevated
Max Pain$15-14.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Roa
0.9
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
2.7
Current Ratio
4.2
Cash-burning: FCF -17% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
7.8
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.86Resistance $21.46

Price Targets

$16
$21
A.Upside+23.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSIQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.02: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.82. Score 3.3/10, high confidence.

What is the CSIQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.03 (+23.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.82. Stop-loss: $15.82.

What are the risks of investing in CSIQ?

Target reached (-12.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CSIQ overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian Solar Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -38.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSIQ?

17 analysts cover CSIQ with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Canadian Solar Inc. do?Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar energy and battery energy storage products and...

Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar energy and battery energy storage products and solutions in Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Recurrent Energy. The Manufacturing Segment focuses on manufacturing and selling solar, battery energy storage and other power technology products, and CSI Solar. It also offers standard solar modules, battery storage solutions, solar system kits, such as inverters, racking systems, and other accessories; power electronic products; and engineering, procurement, and construction services, as well as operates battery energy storage projects. The Recurrent Energy Segment develops, builds, sells, and operates solar power and battery energy storage projects; operates solar power plants; and sells electricity and other services. This segment also provides power operation and maintenance services, including monitor, inspects, repair, and replace of plant equipment, and site management and administrative support services for solar projects, as well as asset management services. The company offers power plant level, commercial, household products, inverter, photovoltaic modules; and sells electricity and smart energy. It serves distributors, system integrators, project developers, installers, and EPC companies, as well as caters to utility companies, public utilities, licensed suppliers, corporate offtakers, and commercial, industrial, or government end users primarily under its Canadian Solar brand name. The company sells its products under CSI, CS PowerTech, CSI Solar, Recurrent Energy, e-STORAGE, SolBank, KuBank, and EP Cube brand names. Canadian Solar Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Kitchener, Canada.

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