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CorVel Corp. (CRVL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

CorVel applies AI, machine learning, and natural language processing to managed care for workers' compensation, group health, and auto insurance, providing claims management, bill review, preferred provider networks, utilization management, case management, and pharmacy... Read more

$57.79-0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#10 of 11 Insurance Brokers
Stop $54.77Target $57.57(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Weak overall score: 4.1/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.2
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE31.3%
Rev Growth3.4%
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
4.8

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.4
Revenue Growth
3.4
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.69Resistance $58.74

Price Targets

$55
$58
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRVL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $54.77. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CRVL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.57 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $54.77. Stop-loss: $54.77.

What are the risks of investing in CRVL?

Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.1/10.

Is CRVL overvalued or undervalued?

CorVel Corp. trades at a P/E of 28.2 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does CorVel Corp. do?CorVel applies AI, machine learning, and natural language processing to managed care for workers' compensation, group...

CorVel applies AI, machine learning, and natural language processing to managed care for workers' compensation, group health, and auto insurance, providing claims management, bill review, preferred provider networks, utilization management, case management, and pharmacy services. Sells to employers, TPAs, insurance companies, and government agencies through a nationwide branch network headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

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