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Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities.

Camden Property Trust is a Texas REIT operating 175 multifamily apartment communities (59,921 homes) across the U.S. as of December 31, 2025, with three properties under construction. Revenue is rental income from apartment leasing in markets characterized by strong economic... Read more

$104.71+0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#13 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $99.71Target $104.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$114.30+9.2%22 analysts
$104.76our TP
$104.71price
$114.30mean
$131

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.7
P/E (Fwd)75.5
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn24.5%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta
Dividend4.04%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.24bearish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily apartment communities
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our income is derived from rental and other income from our multifamily communities'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Executive succession effective March 24, 2026: Campo became Executive Chairman; Jessett became CEO (and joined Board); Baker became President/COO; Fraker became EVP-CFO. Employment agreements executed for Jessett, Baker, and Fraker. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
4.4
Declining revenue: -1%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.7
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $99.69Resistance $106.90

Price Targets

$100
$105
A.Upside+0.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $99.71. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.76 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $99.71. Stop-loss: $99.71.

What are the risks of investing in CPT?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily apartment communities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is CPT overvalued or undervalued?

Camden Property Trust trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 75.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPT?

29 analysts cover CPT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Camden Property Trust do?Camden Property Trust is a Texas REIT operating 175 multifamily apartment communities (59,921 homes) across the U.S. as...

Camden Property Trust is a Texas REIT operating 175 multifamily apartment communities (59,921 homes) across the U.S. as of December 31, 2025, with three properties under construction. Revenue is rental income from apartment leasing in markets characterized by strong economic growth and job formation.

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