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CPRICapri Holdings LimitedSell4.7·$21.33+2.30%
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Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Sell if holding. At $21.33, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%).

Capri Holdings operates two luxury fashion brands—Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo—across accessories, footwear, and apparel through 884 stores and e-commerce globally. Michael Kors generated 83% of Capri's $3.47 billion in Fiscal 2026 revenue; Jimmy Choo contributed the remaining... Read more

$21.33+8.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#5 of 5 Luxury Goods
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield7.53%
Stop $19.84Target $23.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$25.72+20.6%16 analysts
$23.15our TP
$21.33price
$25.72mean
$46

Sell if holding. At $21.33, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Capri Holdings Limited

About Capri Holdings Limited

Capri Holdings' two-brand luxury portfolio—Michael Kors (83% of revenue) and Jimmy Choo (17%)—generated $3.47 billion in total revenue in Fiscal 2026, down from $3.62 billion in Fiscal 2025. The combined network operated 673 Michael Kors stores and 211 Jimmy Choo stores across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia, with the Americas contributing $2.0 billion, EMEA $1.0 billion, and Asia $442 million of Fiscal 2026 sales. E-commerce represented about 21% of net revenues and has been the fastest-growing channel over recent years.

Capri sells through retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale channels including Bloomingdale's, Nordstrom, Saks Fifth Avenue, and Galeries Lafayette. Accessories dominated the product mix at 55.8% of Fiscal 2026 revenue, followed by footwear at 24.6% and apparel at 12.8%. Product manufacturing relies on independent third-party contractors, with one buying agent sourcing roughly 14% of Michael Kors finished goods and the largest manufacturing contractor responsible for 14% of Michael Kors finished products, both predominantly from Asia. Licensing arrangements cover watches (Fossil), eyewear (Luxottica), and fragrance (EuroItalia) for Michael Kors; Jimmy Choo aims to expand accessories from about 20% to at least 30% of that brand's revenues over time.

Show full overview

The personal luxury goods market contracted for the second consecutive year in 2025, with Bain estimating an estimated 80 million consumers exited the category over three years as discretionary demand softened—reaching an estimated €358 billion globally. Capri's revenue fell from $3.62 billion in Fiscal 2025 to $3.47 billion in Fiscal 2026, and the 10-K notes that prolonged macroeconomic pressure could disproportionately affect demand for products aimed at price-sensitive consumers. Michael Kors targets a return to $4 billion in revenue over time, though that trajectory depends on consumer confidence recovery in the Americas. Trade policy adds cost uncertainty: Capri recorded an IEEPA tariff refund receivable of $65 million as of March 28, 2026, while ongoing tariff measures may affect sourcing costs from Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Bangladesh.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

From Capri Holdings Limited's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Capri Holdings Limited

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.5%
Leverage penalty (D/E 16.9): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.1
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE35.1%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductMichael Kors83%
    10-K Item 1: 'Michael Kors — accounted for approximately 83% of our total revenue in Fiscal 2026'
  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside United States47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 47% of our total revenue from operations outside of the United States during Fiscal 2026'
  • LOWSupplierthird-party buying agent14%
    10-K Item 1: 'one third-party buying agent sourced approximately 14% of Michael Kors finished goods purchases, based on dollar volume'
  • LOWSupplierlargest manufacturing contractor14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Michael Kors' largest manufacturing contractor...accounted for the production of approximately 14% of its finished products, based on dollar volume in Fiscal 2026'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Krista McDonough, Chief Legal and Sustainability Officer, voluntarily resigned effective June 26, 2026, to pursue another professional opportunity. No successor named; search process initiated.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.6
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
5.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
3.3
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.81Resistance $21.94

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $21.33, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.84. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the CPRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.15 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $19.84. Stop-loss: $19.84.

What are the risks of investing in CPRI?

Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Leverage penalty (D/E 16.9): -1.5.

Is CPRI overvalued or undervalued?

Capri Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 32.1 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPRI?

22 analysts cover CPRI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Capri Holdings Limited do?Capri Holdings operates two luxury fashion brands—Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo—across accessories, footwear, and apparel...

Capri Holdings operates two luxury fashion brands—Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo—across accessories, footwear, and apparel through 884 stores and e-commerce globally. Michael Kors generated 83% of Capri's $3.47 billion in Fiscal 2026 revenue; Jimmy Choo contributed the remaining 17%, with the Americas supplying $2.0 billion of total sales.

Related stocks: LUXE (LuxExperience B.V.) · SIG (Signet Jewelers Limited) · REAL (The RealReal, Inc.) · ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited)
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