A luxury goods holding company screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 8.1x with a PEG of 0.27, but three consecutive earnings misses, revenue declining at -4%, heavy concentration in a single brand representing 83% of sales, and a reward-to-risk ratio that does not clear the minimum bar make this a watch rather than a buy.
Thesis pillars
- Single Brand Concentration Risk↑Improving
- Reward Risk Below Minimum Bar↑Improving
- Attractive Valuation Potential Floor↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 27, 2026
Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Wait for pullback to $14.58. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.29. Engine's entry $14.58 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).
Capri Holdings operates two luxury fashion brands—Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo—across accessories, footwear, and apparel through 884 stores and e-commerce globally. Michael Kors generated 83% of Capri's $3.47 billion in Fiscal 2026 revenue; Jimmy Choo contributed the remaining... Read more
Wait for pullback to $14.58. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.29. Engine's entry $14.58 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
About Capri Holdings Limited
About Capri Holdings Limited
Capri Holdings' two-brand luxury portfolio—Michael Kors (83% of revenue) and Jimmy Choo (17%)—generated $3.47 billion in total revenue in Fiscal 2026, down from $3.62 billion in Fiscal 2025. The combined network operated 673 Michael Kors stores and 211 Jimmy Choo stores across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia, with the Americas contributing $2.0 billion, EMEA $1.0 billion, and Asia $442 million of Fiscal 2026 sales. E-commerce represented about 21% of net revenues and has been the fastest-growing channel over recent years.
Capri sells through retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale channels including Bloomingdale's, Nordstrom, Saks Fifth Avenue, and Galeries Lafayette. Accessories dominated the product mix at 55.8% of Fiscal 2026 revenue, followed by footwear at 24.6% and apparel at 12.8%. Product manufacturing relies on independent third-party contractors, with one buying agent sourcing roughly 14% of Michael Kors finished goods and the largest manufacturing contractor responsible for 14% of Michael Kors finished products, both predominantly from Asia. Licensing arrangements cover watches (Fossil), eyewear (Luxottica), and fragrance (EuroItalia) for Michael Kors; Jimmy Choo aims to expand accessories from about 20% to at least 30% of that brand's revenues over time.
Show full overview
The personal luxury goods market contracted for the second consecutive year in 2025, with Bain estimating an estimated 80 million consumers exited the category over three years as discretionary demand softened—reaching an estimated €358 billion globally. Capri's revenue fell from $3.62 billion in Fiscal 2025 to $3.47 billion in Fiscal 2026, and the 10-K notes that prolonged macroeconomic pressure could disproportionately affect demand for products aimed at price-sensitive consumers. Michael Kors targets a return to $4 billion in revenue over time, though that trajectory depends on consumer confidence recovery in the Americas. Trade policy adds cost uncertainty: Capri recorded an IEEPA tariff refund receivable of $65 million as of March 28, 2026, while ongoing tariff measures may affect sourcing costs from Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Bangladesh.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
From Capri Holdings Limited's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Capri Holdings Limited
Latest news
- NEWS CPRI Maintains Hold Rating -- Price Target Lowered to $20.00 by TD Cowen - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Capri (CPRI) Expected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Sells 344,338 Shares of Capri Holdings Limited $CPRI - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Capri Holdings Ltd (CPRI) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Capri Holdings Ltd (CPRI) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductMichael Kors83%10-K Item 1: 'Michael Kors — accounted for approximately 83% of our total revenue in Fiscal 2026'
- MEDIUMGeographicoutside United States47%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 47% of our total revenue from operations outside of the United States during Fiscal 2026'
- LOWSupplierthird-party buying agent14%10-K Item 1: 'one third-party buying agent sourced approximately 14% of Michael Kors finished goods purchases, based on dollar volume'
- LOWSupplierlargest manufacturing contractor14%10-K Item 1: 'Michael Kors' largest manufacturing contractor...accounted for the production of approximately 14% of its finished products, based on dollar volume in Fiscal 2026'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOWKrista McDonough, Chief Legal and Sustainability Officer, voluntarily resigned effective June 26, 2026, to pursue another professional opportunity. No successor named; search process initiated.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $14.58. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.29. Engine's entry $14.58 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $19.47 (+27.3%), stop $13.56 (−12.8%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $19.47 (+27.3% upside). Target $19.47 (+27.3%), stop $13.56 (−12.8%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $13.56.
Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (83.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Capri Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
23 analysts cover CPRI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $22.
What does Capri Holdings Limited do?Capri Holdings operates two luxury fashion brands—Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo—across accessories, footwear, and apparel...
Capri Holdings operates two luxury fashion brands—Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo—across accessories, footwear, and apparel through 884 stores and e-commerce globally. Michael Kors generated 83% of Capri's $3.47 billion in Fiscal 2026 revenue; Jimmy Choo contributed the remaining 17%, with the Americas supplying $2.0 billion of total sales.