Value
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.5 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.7 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 7.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.03
- ▸Attractively valued
CPRI · Why this verdict
Why Capri Holdings (CPRI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 0.8 |
| Gross margin | 8.5 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 2.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.6 |
| FCF quality | 9.4 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 35%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 132% FCF/NI
Growth
5.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.6 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -4%
Momentum
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.4 |
| MACD | 9.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.5 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.3 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 32%
Insider
4.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $718,019 (0.033% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.3 |
| quality rank | 2.3 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
2.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.6 |
| support resistance | 2.1 |
| 52w position | 3.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.8 |
| days to cover | 6.7 |
| volatility | 0.5 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.8 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.4 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸High IV: 75%
- ▸Above max pain $5
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.9>=5.0 recovering
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.38
Upside
+18.9%
Downside
13.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.40>1.3, MCap $2.2B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 1.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.38 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.6, Sentiment at 7.1, and Momentum at 5.9; the weakest are Technical at 2.2, Catalyst at 2.5, and Peer rank at 2.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.38 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.