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COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.Sell6.3·$186.17-0.07%
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Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $186.17: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: The Coca-Cola Company (85.0%).

Coca-Cola Consolidated is the largest Coca-Cola bottler in the US, distributing and manufacturing nonalcoholic beverages across 14 states and DC. Roughly 85% of bottle/can volume consists of Coca-Cola Company brands; Walmart and Kroger together represented 29% of total net sales... Read more

$186.17+1.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.25%
IncomeYield0.53%(5y avg 0.34%)Payout13.72%sustainable
Stop $174.74Target $190.33(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $186.17: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: The Coca-Cola Company (85.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

About Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

Coca-Cola Consolidated, the largest Coca-Cola bottler in the United States, distributed and manufactured nonalcoholic beverages across 14 states and the District of Columbia in fiscal 2025, with Walmart representing 17% of total net sales and The Kroger Co. representing 12% — together 29% of net sales. Approximately 85% of the company's total bottle/can sales volume consisted of products of The Coca-Cola Company. The company operates 10 manufacturing plants and 60 distribution centers, serving approximately 60 million consumers.

Coca-Cola Consolidated generates revenue from two main categories: bottle/can sales (split 46% plastic bottles and 54% aluminum cans in fiscal 2025) and other sales, including post-mix, sales to other bottlers, transportation, and equipment maintenance. Products reach customers through direct store delivery to grocery, mass merchandise, club, convenience, drug stores, on-premise locations, and vending, plus alternative routes to market via third-party distributors. Packaging input costs — aluminum, PET resin, and high-fructose corn syrup — are exposed to commodity price volatility, partially managed through CCBSS-administered and company-run hedging programs. The Coca-Cola Company unilaterally establishes concentrate prices under the incidence-based pricing agreement and sets prices for finished goods sold among U.S. bottlers under the RMA. Principal competitors are local PepsiCo bottlers and, in certain regions, Dr Pepper bottlers. In 2025, the company made approximately $52 million in charitable cash donations across its 14-state and DC territory.

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Walmart and Kroger together represent 36% of bottle/can volume and 29% of total net sales — levels stable versus 2024. The 10-K states that loss of either 'could have a material adverse effect on the operating and financial results of the Company,' and no other customer exceeded 10% of net sales. The CBA with The Coca-Cola Company prohibits the company from distributing beverages not authorized by KO without consent, and gives The Coca-Cola Company certain approval rights in connection with any sale of the distribution or manufacturing business, substantially constraining strategic flexibility. Certain states in the company's territories have implemented SNAP benefit restrictions on soft drinks and energy drinks, which, if expanded, may weigh on near-term sales volume.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

From Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: The Coca-Cola Company (85.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.8
P/E (Fwd)4.8
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA2.3
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE135.2%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.55
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.74bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$270+45.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierThe Coca-Cola Company85%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 85% of our total bottle/can sales volume to retail customers consists of products of The Coca‑Cola Company'
  • LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.17%
    10-K Item 1: 'Walmart Inc.(1)| | 17 | %| | 17 | %'
  • LOWCustomerThe Kroger Co.12%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Kroger Co.(2)| | 12 | %| | 12 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
7.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.6
Quality Rank
5.4
Value Rank
5.7
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $163.43Resistance $194.21

Price Targets

$175
$190
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts6
Consensus2.2/5
Avg Target

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $186.17: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: The Coca-Cola Company (85.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $174.74. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $190.33 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $174.74. Stop-loss: $174.74.

What are the risks of investing in COKE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: The Coca-Cola Company (85.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Is COKE overvalued or undervalued?

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COKE?

6 analysts cover COKE with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. do?Coca-Cola Consolidated is the largest Coca-Cola bottler in the US, distributing and manufacturing nonalcoholic...

Coca-Cola Consolidated is the largest Coca-Cola bottler in the US, distributing and manufacturing nonalcoholic beverages across 14 states and DC. Roughly 85% of bottle/can volume consists of Coca-Cola Company brands; Walmart and Kroger together represented 29% of total net sales in 2025 (17% and 12% respectively). Distribution rights under the CBA restrict product additions without Coca-Cola Company consent.

Related stocks: CELH (Celsius Holdings, Inc.) · MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · AKO-A (Embotelladora Andina S.A.) · AKO-B (Embotelladora Andina S.A.)
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