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Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Pepsi (43.2%); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Celsius Holdings develops and markets functional energy drinks under CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar brands in the US and internationally, sold through grocery, convenience, fitness, and mass-market channels. Pepsi serves as primary US distributor and accounted for 43.2% of 2025... Read more

$33.70+75.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stop $31.22Target $58.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 9.1:1
Analyst target$65.40+94.1%20 analysts
$58.86our TP
$33.70price
$65.40mean
$85

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Pepsi (43.2%); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 75%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Pepsi (43.2%)
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)134.3
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth117.2%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV99%elevated
Max Pain$46+36.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerPepsi43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, sales to Pepsi constituted 43.2% of our total net revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-10Item 5.02LOW
    Israel Kontorovsky and Michael Del Pozzo (PepsiCo designees) resigned from Board; replaced by Chrysso (Christy) Jacoby (SVP and CFO, PepsiCo North America Operations) and John Short as PepsiCo's new Board designees, effective February 10, 2026. Routine director rotation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 9.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.01Resistance $37.40

Price Targets

$31
$59
A.Upside+74.7%
A.R:R9.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CELH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Pepsi (43.2%); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $58.86 (+74.7%), stop $31.22 (−7.9%), A.R:R 9.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CELH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.86 (+75.4% upside). Target $58.86 (+74.7%), stop $31.22 (−7.9%), A.R:R 9.1:1. Stop-loss: $31.22.

What are the risks of investing in CELH?

Concentration risk — Customer: Pepsi (43.2%); Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CELH overvalued or undervalued?

Celsius Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 134.3 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CELH?

29 analysts cover CELH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Celsius Holdings, Inc. do?Celsius Holdings develops and markets functional energy drinks under CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar brands in the US...

Celsius Holdings develops and markets functional energy drinks under CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar brands in the US and internationally, sold through grocery, convenience, fitness, and mass-market channels. Pepsi serves as primary US distributor and accounted for 43.2% of 2025 total net revenue; the company acquired Alani Nu and Rockstar in 2025.

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