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CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.Buy Wait6.6·$29.35+3.34%
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Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Wait for pullback to $26.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $29.35. Engine's entry $26.54 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Celsius Holdings markets functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS, Alani Nu (acquired August 2025), and Rockstar brands across the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. Pepsi serves as primary U.S. and Canadian distributor under a long-term agreement and accounted for 43.2%... Read more

$29.35+92.3% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.38%
Entry $26.54(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $23.05Target $54.51(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 7.3:1Setup A.R:R 15.4:1
Analyst target$60.57+106.4%21 analysts
$54.51our TP
$29.35price
$60.57mean
$85

Wait for pullback to $26.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $29.35. Engine's entry $26.54 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Celsius Holdings, Inc.

About Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Pepsi accounted for 43.2% of Celsius Holdings' total net revenue in 2025, anchoring a portfolio that expanded in August 2025 when the company completed the Alani Nu acquisition for $1.275 billion in cash and equity consideration. The brand lineup now spans CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar — distributed through grocery, convenience, fitness, mass-market, and e-commerce channels in the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. At year-end 2025, the company employed 1,497 people globally, including 1,322 in the U.S.

Celsius earns revenue through a distributor-led model anchored by Pepsi. Under the A&R Distribution Agreements effective August 2025, Pepsi serves as primary distributor for all three brands in the U.S. and Canada, with the arrangement running approximately 17 years and the first mutual termination window at year 19 (2041). Internationally, the Suntory Group covers the U.K., Australia, New Zealand, France, Monaco, Belgium, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands. The principal raw materials — aluminum cans, natural flavors, sweeteners, vitamins, and botanical extracts — are sourced from multiple suppliers, and the company states no dependency on any single supplier. The competitive set includes Monster Beverage Corporation, Red Bull GmbH, and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

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The 43.2% revenue concentration in Pepsi extends beyond a typical customer relationship: Pepsi holds preferred equity investments in Celsius, designates two board directors, and under the Captaincy arrangement influences category management decisions including product facings and merchandising allocations. The 10-K discloses that Pepsi's increased ownership and board representation could create conflicts of interest or limit Celsius's flexibility in pursuing alternative distribution strategies. Any significant disagreement or termination of the Pepsi arrangements could prevent distribution of Celsius products and may adversely affect the company's financial condition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

From Celsius Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.9
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth137.7%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.01bearish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerPepsi43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, sales to Pepsi constituted 43.2% of our total net revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 7.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.47Resistance $33.49

Price Targets

$23
$27
$55
A.Upside+85.7%
A.R:R7.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)15.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CELH stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $26.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $29.35. Engine's entry $26.54 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $54.51 (+85.7%), stop $23.05 (−27.3%), Setup A.R:R 15.4:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CELH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.51 (+92.3% upside). Target $54.51 (+85.7%), stop $23.05 (−27.3%), Setup A.R:R 15.4:1. Stop-loss: $23.05.

What are the risks of investing in CELH?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CELH overvalued or undervalued?

Celsius Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 67.9 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CELH?

29 analysts cover CELH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Celsius Holdings, Inc. do?Celsius Holdings markets functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS, Alani Nu (acquired August 2025), and Rockstar...

Celsius Holdings markets functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS, Alani Nu (acquired August 2025), and Rockstar brands across the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. Pepsi serves as primary U.S. and Canadian distributor under a long-term agreement and accounted for 43.2% of total net revenue in 2025; the company employed 1,497 people globally at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · AKO-A (Embotelladora Andina S.A.) · COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · AKO-B (Embotelladora Andina S.A.) · CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners )
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