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Celcuity Inc. (CELC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $124.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.09; Below-average business quality.

Celcuity is a clinical-stage biotech developing gedatolisib, a pan-PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer in Phase 3 trials (VIKTORIA-1 and VIKTORIA-2) and metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. The company has no revenue; commercialization depends... Read more

$124.03+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#139 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $116.23Target $126.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$130.55+5.3%11 analysts
$126.51our TP
$124.03price
$130.55mean
$94
$155

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $124.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: gedatolisib
Target reached (-9.1% upside)
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-110.3
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA-33.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-163.8%
Rev Growth
Beta0.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C5.09bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$45-63.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductgedatolisib
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our future success and ability to generate revenue, if ever, is dependent on our ability to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval for and commercialize gedatolisib'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Charles (Chip) R. Romp appointed as director, filling a vacancy created by board expansion from 7 to 8 members, effective February 11, 2026. Serves through 2026 Annual Meeting. No committees assigned yet.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 5.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.8
Debt Equity
1.8
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 27%Elevated put/call: 5.09High IV: 84%Above max pain $45Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $106.58Resistance $129.09

Price Targets

$116
$127
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CELC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $124.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $116.23. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CELC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.51 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $116.23. Stop-loss: $116.23.

What are the risks of investing in CELC?

Concentration risk — Product: gedatolisib; Target reached (-9.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is CELC overvalued or undervalued?

Celcuity Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -110.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CELC?

17 analysts cover CELC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $131.

What does Celcuity Inc. do?Celcuity is a clinical-stage biotech developing gedatolisib, a pan-PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, for HR+/HER2- advanced breast...

Celcuity is a clinical-stage biotech developing gedatolisib, a pan-PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer in Phase 3 trials (VIKTORIA-1 and VIKTORIA-2) and metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. The company has no revenue; commercialization depends entirely on regulatory approval of gedatolisib.

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