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CBCCentral Bancompany, Inc.Sell5.2·$28.79+0.28%
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Central Bancompany, Inc. (CBC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $28.79, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Single-region cliff: 88% exposure to Missouri and other Primary Markets (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Missouri and other Primary Markets (87.8%).

Central Bancompany, headquartered in Jefferson City, Missouri, operates 155 full-service branches primarily in Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Colorado through The Central Trust Bank. With $20.75 billion in total assets and $16.0 billion in wealth assets under advice at December... Read more

$28.79-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#129 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.67%Payout16.01%sustainable
Stop $27.39Target $28.67(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$29.50+2.5%5 analysts
$28.67our TP
$28.79price
$29.50mean
$28
$31

Sell if holding. At $28.79, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Single-region cliff: 88% exposure to Missouri and other Primary Markets (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Missouri and other Primary Markets (87.8%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Central Bancompany, Inc.

About Central Bancompany, Inc.

Central Bancompany operated 155 full-service branches across 11 Primary Markets and 79 communities at December 31, 2025, with $20.75 billion in total consolidated assets and $16.0 billion in wealth assets under advice. The company held approximately 24% weighted average deposit market share across its Primary Markets concentrated in Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Colorado, and is subject to federal and state banking regulation including FDIC assessments. Consumer, commercial, and wealth management represent the three operating business lines.

Central Bancompany generates revenue through net interest income on its $11.49 billion loan portfolio, segmented into commercial real estate and construction ($5.3 billion, or 46.4% of total loans held for investment), commercial and agricultural C&I ($1.8 billion), residential real estate ($3.73 billion), and consumer ($650 million). The wealth management platform — Central Trust Company and Central Investment Advisors, in partnership with LPL Financial — contributed $16.0 billion in assets under advice at December 31, 2025 and generates high net margins, providing earnings stability. Mortgage loans are sold to Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, or private investors; in 2025 the company originated $1,527 million in residential real estate loans, retaining $452 million on its balance sheet. The company also held approximately $2.6 billion in public funds across approximately 450 government relationships, with an average client tenure of 16 years.

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The geographic concentration in Central Bancompany's loan book is pronounced: 87.8% of loans were to borrowers residing or organized in the company's Primary Markets at December 31, 2025, and 88.5% of real estate-secured loans were collateralized by properties in those same markets. If CRE valuations in Missouri and neighboring states deteriorate, both collateral values and borrower cash flows may weaken simultaneously — a correlated exposure the 10-K explicitly identifies as a strategic risk that may unfavorably impact long-term growth.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Central Bancompany, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Single-region cliff: 88% exposure to Missouri and other Primary Markets (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Missouri and other Primary Markets (87.8%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate loans (79.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn39.2%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta0.09
Dividend1.67%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV95%elevated
Max Pain$13-56.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMissouri and other Primary Markets88%
    10-K Item 1A: '87.8% of our loans were to borrowers who resided or organized in Missouri and our other Primary Markets'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate loans79%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our real estate loans represented approximately $9.0 billion, or 79.0% of our total loans held for investment portfolio'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and construction and development loans46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our commercial real estate and construction and development loans were $5.3 billion...at approximately 46.4% of our total loans held for investment portfolio'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $26.31Resistance $29.26

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $28.79, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Single-region cliff: 88% exposure to Missouri and other Primary Markets (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Missouri and other Primary Markets (87.8%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.39. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.67 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $27.39. Stop-loss: $27.39.

What are the risks of investing in CBC?

Single-region cliff: 88% exposure to Missouri and other Primary Markets (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Missouri and other Primary Markets (87.8%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate loans (79.0%).

Is CBC overvalued or undervalued?

Central Bancompany, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CBC?

9 analysts cover CBC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Central Bancompany, Inc. do?Central Bancompany, headquartered in Jefferson City, Missouri, operates 155 full-service branches primarily in...

Central Bancompany, headquartered in Jefferson City, Missouri, operates 155 full-service branches primarily in Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Colorado through The Central Trust Bank. With $20.75 billion in total assets and $16.0 billion in wealth assets under advice at December 31, 2025, it serves approximately 257,000 consumer households and 69,000 commercial entities through consumer banking, commercial banking, and wealth management.

Related stocks: INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation)
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