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CAHCardinal Health, Inc.Sell4.9·$223.85+1.22%
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Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $223.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality.

Cardinal Health distributes branded and generic pharmaceuticals and medical products to hospitals, pharmacies, ambulatory surgery centers, and patients at home, serving customers through its Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment and Global Medical Products and... Read more

$223.85-1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#4 of 5 Medical Distribution
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield9.36%
IncomeYield0.93%(5y avg 2.25%)Payout31.19%sustainable
Stop $214.05Target $220.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$245.27+9.6%15 analysts
$220.38our TP
$223.85price
$245.27mean
$215
$275

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $223.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cardinal Health, Inc.

About Cardinal Health, Inc.

CVS Health accounted for 30% of Cardinal Health's fiscal 2025 revenue, while the five largest customers combined — including CVS Health — represented 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue. The company employed approximately 57,700 people globally at June 30, 2025, serving hospitals, pharmacies, ambulatory surgery centers, clinical laboratories, physician offices, and patients at home through two primary segments: Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions and Global Medical Products and Distribution (GMPD), with additional operating segments in nuclear pharmacy, at-home solutions, and logistics.

Cardinal Health earns margin in the Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment primarily through its generic pharmaceutical program (price discounts, rebates, and service fees from manufacturers) and through distribution services agreements with branded manufacturers, where compensation is typically a percentage of wholesale acquisition cost. A sourcing joint venture with CVS Health — Red Oak Sourcing, LLC — negotiates generic pharmaceutical supply contracts on behalf of both companies, with the term extending through June 2029. The GMPD segment manufactures and sources Cardinal Health-branded medical and surgical products at higher margins and distributes a broad range of national brand medical, surgical, and laboratory products. The company has expanded specialty managed-service platforms through the acquisitions of GI Alliance ($2.8 billion, January 2025), Integrated Oncology Network ($1.1 billion, December 2024), and Specialty Networks ($1.2 billion, March 2024). In the Pharma segment, the company competes primarily with McKesson Corporation and Cencora, Inc.; in GMPD, with Medline Industries and Owens & Minor.

Show full overview

CVS Health's 30% share of fiscal 2025 revenue and its concurrent role as joint-venture partner in Red Oak Sourcing creates a dual dependency: if CVS Health reduces volumes, negotiates less favorable terms, or the sourcing venture relationship changes, both Cardinal Health's distribution revenue and its generic sourcing economics could be simultaneously affected. The 10-K identifies the loss of any significant customer or GPO agreement as a risk that could adversely affect the business; the five largest customers' 43% combined share and the two largest GPOs' (Vizient and Premier) 27% share compound this exposure. In some instances, the company also procures certain components and raw materials from a sole supplier, subject to supply interruption risk.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Distribution

From Cardinal Health, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Cardinal Health, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole supplier
Target reached (-1.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.8
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$51.8B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.53
Dividend0.93%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCVS Health30%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, CVS Health, accounted for 30 percent of our fiscal 2025 revenue'
  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers43%
    10-K Item 1: 'our five largest customers, including CVS Health, accounted for 43 percent of our fiscal 2025 revenue'
  • MEDIUMCustomerVizient and Premier GPOs27%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our two largest GPO relationships in terms of revenue are with Vizient, Inc. and Premier, Inc. ... collectively accounted for 27 percent of our revenue in fiscal 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersole supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure certain components and raw materials from a sole supplier'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Gregory B. Kenny retired as Board Chair effective March 20, 2026; departure not due to any disagreement with the Company. Patricia A. Hemingway Hall, current director, appointed Board Chair effective immediately. No successor named for the director seat.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.3
Operating Margin
0.6
Roa
2.4
Current Ratio
3.6
Moat
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 312% FCF/NI
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $193.73Resistance $224.88

Price Targets

$214
$220
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $223.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $214.05. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $220.38 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $214.05. Stop-loss: $214.05.

What are the risks of investing in CAH?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole supplier; Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is CAH overvalued or undervalued?

Cardinal Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.8 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAH?

23 analysts cover CAH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $245.

What does Cardinal Health, Inc. do?Cardinal Health distributes branded and generic pharmaceuticals and medical products to hospitals, pharmacies,...

Cardinal Health distributes branded and generic pharmaceuticals and medical products to hospitals, pharmacies, ambulatory surgery centers, and patients at home, serving customers through its Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment and Global Medical Products and Distribution segment. CVS Health accounted for 30% of fiscal 2025 revenue; the five largest customers combined represented 43%; the company employed approximately 57,700 people globally as of June 30, 2025.

Related stocks: COR (Cencora, Inc.) · MCK (McKesson Corporation) · HSIC (Henry Schein, Inc.) · GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · INCY (Incyte Corporation)
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