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CACCamden National CorporationHold6.5·$52.86-1.98%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CAC's earnings beat streak and positive news-driven upgrade are offset by a failed asymmetry gate after reaching its price target and a meaningful quality discount applied to position sizing.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Cheap ValuationStable
  • Positive News Sentiment UpgradeStable
  • Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Camden National Corporation (CAC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%).

Camden National Corporation is the Maine-based holding company for Camden National Bank, operating 72 branches across Maine and New Hampshire after acquiring Northway Financial in January 2025, which added $971.9 million of deposits, $1.2 billion of assets and 17 New Hampshire... Read more

$52.86+4.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#33 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.08%(5y avg 4.05%)Payout35.74%sustainable
Stop $49.52Target $55.11(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$53.25+0.7%4 analysts
$55.11our TP
$52.86price
$53.25mean
$50
$58

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Camden National Corporation

About Camden National Corporation

Camden National Corporation held $7.0 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, after completing its acquisition of Northway Financial in January 2025, which added $971.9 million of deposits, $1.2 billion of assets and 17 New Hampshire branches. The bank operates 72 branches across Maine and New Hampshire, is subject to primary oversight from the OCC and the Federal Reserve, and derives 79% of total revenue from net interest income.

Camden National, through its national bank subsidiary Camden National Bank, extends loans to consumer, institutional, municipal, non-profit and commercial customers and funds that lending primarily through customer deposits, supplemented by wealth management, trust, brokerage and insurance fees earned through Camden National Wealth Management and Camden Financial Consultants, offered via LPL Financial. Commercial real estate and commercial loans made up 52% of total loan balances at December 31, 2025. The company has grown at a five-year compounded annual asset growth rate of 7%, split between $219.2 million of organic growth and $1.2 billion of acquired assets from Northway, and continues to evaluate further bank acquisitions in Maine, New Hampshire and Massachusetts.

Show full overview

Camden National's loan portfolio remains structurally tied to Northern New England: even after the Northway acquisition diversified the geographic base, over 50% of loans are still concentrated among Maine borrowers, down from 68% at the end of 2024, with elevated exposure in Cumberland, Kennebec, Knox and York counties. A regional downturn in these markets, whether from tariff-driven stress on Maine industries exposed to Canadian trade or a broader Northern New England slowdown, could weigh on loan performance more than it would for a more geographically diversified bank.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Camden National Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$928M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.3%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta0.54
Dividend3.08%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMaine
    10-K Item 1A: 'our loan portfolio remains significantly concentrated among Northern New England borrowers, with over 50% still located in Maine'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and commercial loans52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our commercial real estate and commercial loan portfolios comprised 52% of our total loan balances.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and Chief Technology Officer William H. Martel gave notice of his retirement effective July 31, 2026, announced May 6, 2026. No successor named; no disagreement with the company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.20Resistance $56.23

Price Targets

$50
$55
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $55.11 (+4.3%), stop $49.52 (−6.7%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.11 (+4.3% upside). Target $55.11 (+4.3%), stop $49.52 (−6.7%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Stop-loss: $49.52.

What are the risks of investing in CAC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CAC overvalued or undervalued?

Camden National Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CAC?

8 analysts cover CAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Camden National Corporation do?Camden National Corporation is the Maine-based holding company for Camden National Bank, operating 72 branches across...

Camden National Corporation is the Maine-based holding company for Camden National Bank, operating 72 branches across Maine and New Hampshire after acquiring Northway Financial in January 2025, which added $971.9 million of deposits, $1.2 billion of assets and 17 New Hampshire branches. At December 31, 2025, the company had $7.0 billion in total assets, with net interest income representing 79% of total revenue. It also provides wealth management, trust and brokerage services through Camden National Wealth Management and Camden Financial Consultants.

Related stocks: BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I) · AROW (Arrow Financial Corporation) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
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