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CACCamden National CorporationHold5.5·$58.29
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Camden National has strong growth (20% YoY), a perfect 4-quarter beat streak and a cheap forward P/E of 10.1x, but price is 10.4% above the analyst target and the loan book is concentrated in Maine and commercial lending.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Loan Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Earnings Growth↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Beat Streak→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Camden National Corporation (CAC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%).

Camden National Corporation is the Maine-based holding company for Camden National Bank, operating 72 branches across Maine and New Hampshire after acquiring Northway Financial in January 2025, which added $971.9 million of deposits, $1.2 billion of assets and 17 New Hampshire... Read more

$58.29-10.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#171 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.88%(5y avg 3.90%)Payout32.18%sustainable
Stop $55.65Analyst target $52.37(reached)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst consensus$60.20+3.3%5 analysts
$58.29price
$60.20mean
$64

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Camden National Corporation

About Camden National Corporation

Camden National Corporation held $7.0 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, after completing its acquisition of Northway Financial in January 2025, which added $971.9 million of deposits, $1.2 billion of assets and 17 New Hampshire branches. The bank operates 72 branches across Maine and New Hampshire, is subject to primary oversight from the OCC and the Federal Reserve, and derives 79% of total revenue from net interest income.

Camden National, through its national bank subsidiary Camden National Bank, extends loans to consumer, institutional, municipal, non-profit and commercial customers and funds that lending primarily through customer deposits, supplemented by wealth management, trust, brokerage and insurance fees earned through Camden National Wealth Management and Camden Financial Consultants, offered via LPL Financial. Commercial real estate and commercial loans made up 52% of total loan balances at December 31, 2025. The company has grown at a five-year compounded annual asset growth rate of 7%, split between $219.2 million of organic growth and $1.2 billion of acquired assets from Northway, and continues to evaluate further bank acquisitions in Maine, New Hampshire and Massachusetts.

Show full overview

Camden National's loan portfolio remains structurally tied to Northern New England: even after the Northway acquisition diversified the geographic base, over 50% of loans are still concentrated among Maine borrowers, down from 68% at the end of 2024, with elevated exposure in Cumberland, Kennebec, Knox and York counties. A regional downturn in these markets, whether from tariff-driven stress on Maine industries exposed to Canadian trade or a broader Northern New England slowdown, could weigh on loan performance more than it would for a more geographically diversified bank.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Camden National Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 26, 202788d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$985M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn34.4%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta—
Dividend2.88%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMaine
    10-K Item 1A: 'our loan portfolio remains significantly concentrated among Northern New England borrowers, with over 50% still located in Maine'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and commercial loans52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our commercial real estate and commercial loan portfolios comprised 52% of our total loan balances.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and Chief Technology Officer William H. Martel gave notice of his retirement effective July 31, 2026, announced May 6, 2026. No successor named; no disagreement with the company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.4
Revenue Growth
4.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
9.4
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.11Resistance $58.98

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.1%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-26 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $52.37 reached (−10.1%), stop $55.65 (−4.7%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAC stock price target?

Analyst target $52.37 reached (−10.1% from $58.29); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $52.37 reached (−10.1%), stop $55.65 (−4.7%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $55.65.

What are the risks of investing in CAC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Maine; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial loans (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CAC overvalued or undervalued?

Camden National Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CAC?

8 analysts cover CAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Camden National Corporation do?Camden National Corporation is the Maine-based holding company for Camden National Bank, operating 72 branches across...

Camden National Corporation is the Maine-based holding company for Camden National Bank, operating 72 branches across Maine and New Hampshire after acquiring Northway Financial in January 2025, which added $971.9 million of deposits, $1.2 billion of assets and 17 New Hampshire branches. At December 31, 2025, the company had $7.0 billion in total assets, with net interest income representing 79% of total revenue. It also provides wealth management, trust and brokerage services through Camden National Wealth Management and Camden Financial Consultants.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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