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BOCBoston Omaha CorporationSell4.2·$14.10-0.56%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Boston Omaha shows constructive insider buying against a backdrop of below-floor business quality, an overbought technical setup with heavy options hedging, and a string of recent earnings misses.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Score Below Investment FloorStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Insider Buying ConvictionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Boston Omaha Corporation operates a diversified holding company spanning billboard advertising, broadband telecommunications, surety insurance, and asset management, alongside minority stakes in companies such as Sky Harbour Group Corporation and Dream Finders Homes. The company... Read more

$14.10+5.8% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#17 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.62%
Stop $13.16Target $14.92(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Boston Omaha Corporation

About Boston Omaha Corporation

Boston Omaha Corporation's four reporting segments — billboard advertising, broadband telecommunications, surety insurance, and asset management — sit alongside a $107.8 million minority stake in Sky Harbour Group Corporation (NYSE: SKYH), built up in stages since 2020. The company narrowed its net loss to approximately $3.9 million in fiscal 2025 from $8.5 million in fiscal 2024, and its billboard subsidiary Link carried $34.8 million in bank borrowings as of December 31, 2025.

Boston Omaha's billboard segment earns advertising revenue from displays operated through its Link subsidiary, which carries $34.8 million in borrowings under a credit agreement combining a term loan due in 2028 and a revolving line of credit due in 2029. The broadband segment operates through three subsidiaries under a separate credit agreement entered in September 2024 permitting up to $20 million in aggregate term loans to fund network expansion. Acquisitions of assets and businesses remain a core growth strategy across segments, funded through a mix of operating cash flow, debt, and equity issuances under the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan, which authorizes up to 1,575,000 shares with automatic annual increases through February 2032. Because Boston Omaha accounts for its Sky Harbour stake under the equity method rather than marking it to market each quarter, swings in Sky Harbour's share price do not directly flow through reported earnings unless the company's influence over that investee changes.

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Boston Omaha's single largest equity exposure sits in Sky Harbour Group Corporation, where the carrying value of $6.36 per share as of December 31, 2025 sat below Sky Harbour's $8.97 closing price, but a sustained drop below that carrying value would likely trigger an impairment charge against Boston Omaha's earnings. The company also disclosed it could inadvertently become subject to registration as an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940 if the value of its minority stakes were to rise relative to its operating assets, a status it says it has taken steps — including selling marketable securities — to avoid.

See also: Industrials · Conglomerates

From Boston Omaha Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-740.0
Mkt Cap$447M
EV/EBITDA24.8
Profit Mgn-12.1%
ROE-3.4%
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta0.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -12.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
3.5
Gross Margin
4.4
Moat
5.4
Current Ratio
6.6
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 2%, FCF yield 0.6%)No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
3.3
Conservative debt levels

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
7.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (40%).
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.82Resistance $15.22

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $13.16. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.92 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $13.16. Stop-loss: $13.16.

What are the risks of investing in BOC?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is BOC overvalued or undervalued?

Boston Omaha Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -740.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BOC?

8 analysts cover BOC with a consensus score of 2.3/5.

What does Boston Omaha Corporation do?Boston Omaha Corporation operates a diversified holding company spanning billboard advertising, broadband...

Boston Omaha Corporation operates a diversified holding company spanning billboard advertising, broadband telecommunications, surety insurance, and asset management, alongside minority stakes in companies such as Sky Harbour Group Corporation and Dream Finders Homes. The company narrowed its net loss to approximately $3.9 million in fiscal 2025 from $8.5 million in fiscal 2024, having invested a cumulative $107.8 million in Sky Harbour Class A common stock and warrants.

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