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BILIBilibili Inc.Sell5.5·$18.39+1.72%
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Bilibili Inc. (BILI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.39: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.11; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. It offers a range of digital content, including professional user generated videos (PUGV), mobile games, and value-added services, such as live broadcasting,... Read more

$18.39+48.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#17 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $17.07Target $27.18(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst target$29.55+60.7%31 analysts
$27.18our TP
$18.39price
$29.55mean
$36

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.39: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.11; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA-2.1
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth6.7%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.11bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$31+68.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
6.1

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.9
Roa
1.4
Net Margin
2.3
Roe
3.1
Gross Margin
3.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.92Resistance $21.27

Price Targets

$17
$27
A.Upside+47.8%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BILI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.39: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.11; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $17.07. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BILI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.18 (+48.0% upside). Prior stop was $17.07. Stop-loss: $17.07.

What are the risks of investing in BILI?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is BILI overvalued or undervalued?

Bilibili Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BILI?

34 analysts cover BILI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Bilibili Inc. do?Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. It...

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. It offers a range of digital content, including professional user generated videos (PUGV), mobile games, and value-added services, such as live broadcasting, occupationally generated videos, audio drama on Maoer, comics on Bilibili Comic, PUGV content in fan charging program and premium courses, and Bilibili premium courses and community-based avatar decoration. The company also provides advertising services; and IP derivatives and other services. In addition, it engages in the business and technology development activities; e-commerce business; and video, comics, and game distribution activities. Bilibili Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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