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BCPCBalchem CorporationBuy Wait5.9·$162.73-0.60%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Balchem Corporation is a high-quality specialty chemicals business — a perfect Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, a moat score of 7.0, and best-in-class margins — with a consistent earnings delivery record, but the stock screens expensive at a forward multiple of 26.8 times and offers only 4.3% headroom to the take-profit target, leaving the risk/reward insufficient to justify a new position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation ScreensDeteriorating
  • High Quality Piotroski Perfect ScoreStable
  • Consistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Balchem Corporation (BCPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $156.29. At $162.73 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $156.29 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.9%.

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that... Read more

$162.73+4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#15 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.63%
IncomeYield0.58%(5y avg 0.51%)Payout19.71%sustainable
Entry $156.29(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $149.33Target $170.64(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$200.75+23.4%4 analysts
$170.64our TP
$162.73price
$200.75mean
$234

Wait for pullback to $156.29. At $162.73 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $156.29 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.9%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.9%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.0
P/E (Fwd)26.8
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA20.6
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.58%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $159.34Resistance $170.34

Price Targets

$149
$156
$171
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCPC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $156.29. At $162.73 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $156.29 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.9%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $170.64 (+4.9%), stop $149.33 (−9.0%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.64 (+4.9% upside). Target $170.64 (+4.9%), stop $149.33 (−9.0%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $149.33.

What are the risks of investing in BCPC?

Thin upside margin: 4.9%.

Is BCPC overvalued or undervalued?

Balchem Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.0 (forward 26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BCPC?

9 analysts cover BCPC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $201.

What does Balchem Corporation do?We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional,...

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that offer products and services to different markets: Human Nutrition and Health, Animal Nutrition and Health, and Specialty Products.

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