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BCPCBalchem CorporationHold5.6·$166.30
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Balchem is a high-quality compounder with a wide moat, a 9/9 Piotroski score and strong momentum, but at a forward P/E of 28.2x and within 0.5% of the analyst target it offers little upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Nearly Reached↑Improving
  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Rich Valuation Forward Pe↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Balchem Corporation (BCPC) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that... Read more

$166.30+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#22 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.63%
IncomeYield0.58%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout18.11%sustainable
Stop $159.28Analyst target $176.80(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst consensus$208.00+25.1%4 analysts
$176.80Analyst target
$166.30price
$208.00mean
$242

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Feb 19, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)26.3
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA19.3
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.85
Dividend0.58%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV34%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.2
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $161.05Resistance $178.57

Price Targets

$159
$177
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-19 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $176.80 (+6.3%), stop $159.28 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCPC stock price target?

Analyst target: $176.80 (+6.3% upside). Analyst target $176.80 (+6.3%), stop $159.28 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $159.28.

What are the risks of investing in BCPC?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is BCPC overvalued or undervalued?

Balchem Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 26.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BCPC?

9 analysts cover BCPC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $208.

What does Balchem Corporation do?We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional,...

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that offer products and services to different markets: Human Nutrition and Health, Animal Nutrition and Health, and Specialty Products.

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