Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BBY stock price target?

Take-profit $65.25 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $56.42.

Q: What are the risks of investing in BBY?

Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10; Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is BBY overvalued or undervalued?

Best Buy Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BBY?

30 analysts cover BBY with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $73.

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

$60.36+8.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#16 of 18 Specialty Retail

Stop $56.42Target $65.25(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1

Analyst target$72.50+20.1%20 analysts

$65.25our TP

$60.36price

$72.50mean

$90

Sell if holding. At $60.36, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Attractive valuation

Risks

Thin upside margin: 8.2%

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0

P/E (Fwd)8.6

Mkt Cap$12.7B

EV/EBITDA5.7

Profit Mgn2.6%

ROE37.0%

Rev Growth-1.0%

Beta1.37

Dividend6.35%

Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.49bearish

IV48%normal

Max Pain$45-25.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 22, 2026, Best Buy Co., Inc.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.015%1.20

Quality4.315%0.64

Growth2.215%0.33

Momentum1.410%0.14

Sentiment5.910%0.59

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.710%0.47

Technical Setup6.65%0.33

Risk Profile4.55%0.23

Catalyst7.15%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)4.66

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.5

Rsi

4.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

2.2

Declining revenue: -1%

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

48 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.17Resistance $68.20

Price Targets

$56

$65

A.Upside+8.1%

A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-28 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $60.36, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $56.42. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.25 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $56.42. Stop-loss: $56.42.

What are the risks of investing in BBY?

Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is BBY overvalued or undervalued?

Best Buy Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BBY?

30 analysts cover BBY with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $73.

What does Best Buy Co., Inc. do?We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology...

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech expertise and a human touch to meet our customers' everyday needs, whether they come to us online, visit our stores or invite us into their homes. We have operations in the U.S. and Canada.