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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates... Read more

$129.83+24.2% upside
Score 4.6/10Target $161.15Reward/Risk 2.6:1

TrendMatrix rates Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $129.83 with +24.2% upside to the $161.15 price target. Overall score: 4.6/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 2.6:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.3Qual3.4Grw1.4Mom4.9Sent7.6Ins5.0Peer3.3Tech5.2Risk7.74.6OVERALL

Investment Thesis

- Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$299.6B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.43
Dividend0.83%
Analysts48
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BABA stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 4.6/10.

What is the BABA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $161.15 (+24.2% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $117.53.

What are the risks of investing in BABA?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is BABA overvalued or undervalued?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BABA?

48 analysts cover BABA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $190.

What does Alibaba Group Holding Limited do?Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help...

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates digital retail platforms under the Taobao and Tmall names; wholesale marketplaces through 1688.com and Alibaba.com; global e-commerce platform under the AliExpress name; e-commerce platforms under the Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz names; and consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace under the Tmall Global, Tmall Supermarket, and Xianyu names. The company also operates Cainiao, an e-commerce logistics solution; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; and Amap, a provider of mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information; Youku, an online video platform; and Damai Entertainment that provides content production, promotion and distribution, performance and event ticketing management, IP-related licensing and operations, cinema ticketing management, and internet data services for the entertainment industry. In addition, it provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database, big data, cloud native, and Alibaba cloud model studio services; and hardware, software license and installation, and application development and maintenance services, as well as sells membership packages and subscriptions. Further, the company offers Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and goods; Alibaba Health for medical and healthcare solutions; mobile games under the Lingxi Games name; UC Browser, an information service platform; Quark, an information services platform for young users; Fliggy, an online travel platform; and DingTalk, a collaboration workplace and enterprise management platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

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49 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d<200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $121.16Res $149.06

Price Targets

$118
$161
Upside+24.2%
Reward/Risk2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeNEUTRAL

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! MOMENTUM:4.9<5.0
RANGE BOUNDSuitability: Moderate
Risk/Reward 3.6>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 4.9<5.0