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ASSTStrive, Inc.Sell6.1·$12.35-2.76%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Strive shows explosive revenue growth and industry-leading growth rank, but extreme cash burn keeps quality far below the engine's floor, and a confirmed downtrend with a hard-blocked death cross and high short interest dominate the near-term technical picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Engine FloorStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death CrossStable
  • High Short Interest RiskStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Strive, Inc. (ASST) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.35: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 7.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.32; Below-average business quality.

Strive is a bitcoin treasury and asset management company that adopted bitcoin as its capital allocation benchmark, holding approximately 7,627 bitcoin (fair value $668.5 million) as of December 31, 2025, funded through equity and its SATA perpetual preferred stock ATM program,... Read more

$12.35+107.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#50 of 244 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-29.99%
Stop $11.52Target $25.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 7.2:1
Analyst target$29.60+139.7%5 analysts
$25.75our TP
$12.35price
$29.60mean
$36

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.35: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 7.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.32; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Strive, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T21:03:52Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-12.5
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-2.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-124.4%
Rev Growth94.0%
Beta13.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV104%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditybitcoin
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, our digital assets, at fair value totaled approximately $668.5 million within our consolidated statement of financial condition, consisting of approximately 7,627 bitcoin.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On May 12, 2026, subsidiary Semler Scientific repurchased and cancelled all remaining outstanding 4.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, satisfying and discharging the related Indenture; a routine debt retirement, not a default.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Cash-burning: FCF -4535% of revenueQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.2
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.7
Obv
6.6
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Below 200-MA, MA slope -41.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)8K FLAG 1.02A.R:R 7.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.53Resistance $17.57

Price Targets

$12
$26
A.Upside+108.5%
A.R:R7.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.35: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 7.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.32; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.52. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.75 (+107.8% upside). Prior stop was $11.52. Stop-loss: $11.52.

What are the risks of investing in ASST?

Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin; Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is ASST overvalued or undervalued?

Strive, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASST?

11 analysts cover ASST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Strive, Inc. do?Strive is a bitcoin treasury and asset management company that adopted bitcoin as its capital allocation benchmark,...

Strive is a bitcoin treasury and asset management company that adopted bitcoin as its capital allocation benchmark, holding approximately 7,627 bitcoin (fair value $668.5 million) as of December 31, 2025, funded through equity and its SATA perpetual preferred stock ATM program, and manages over $2.4 billion in assets under management through its fee-based asset-management segment. In January 2026, Strive completed its acquisition of Semler Scientific, adding Semler's bitcoin reserve and its FDA-cleared QuantaFlo vascular-testing medical device business, and separately invested $50 million in S

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