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AREAlexandria Real Estate EquitiesSell3.9·$53.17+0.76%
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Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. At $53.17, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 53% of NOI from investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Property Type: life science.

Alexandria Real Estate Equities owns and operates 340 life science REIT properties in North America totaling approximately 39.4 million RSF, concentrated in Greater Boston, San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, and five other U.S. innovation cluster markets. The company earns... Read more

$53.17+1.6% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#12 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.32%
IncomeYield5.46%(5y avg 4.68%)Payout689.47%
Stop $49.45Target $54.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$51.36-3.4%14 analysts
$54.04our TP
$53.17price
$51.36mean
$42
$70

Sell if holding. At $53.17, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 53% of NOI from investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Property Type: life science. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and reit tenant cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Alexandria Real Estate Equities

About Alexandria Real Estate Equities

Alexandria Real Estate Equities owns 35.9 million RSF of operating life science laboratory properties concentrated in seven U.S. innovation cluster markets, including Greater Boston, San Francisco Bay Area, and San Diego. At December 31, 2025, portfolio occupancy was 90.9%, investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants contributed 53% of annual rental revenue, and 3.5 million RSF of Class A/A+ properties were under construction. The company reported a total market capitalization of $20.75 billion.

Alexandria earns rental revenue primarily through triple-net leases, with approximately 92% of leases (on an annual rental revenue basis) structured as NNN arrangements that pass substantially all taxes, insurance, utilities, and operating expenses to tenants. Roughly 97% of leases contained annual rent escalations of approximately 3%, either fixed or indexed to CPI, providing contractual growth in base rent. The tenant base spans multinational pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology firms, life science product and device companies, academic research institutions, U.S. government research agencies, and venture capital firms. Properties are concentrated in seven geographic segments — Greater Boston, San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, Seattle, Maryland, Research Triangle, and New York City — primarily within Megacampus environments designed for laboratory and collaborative research use. Competitors for investment opportunities include other REITs, insurance companies, pension funds, private equity entities, and foreign investors.

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Alexandria's portfolio consists entirely of life science laboratory properties, and the 10-K explicitly flags dependence on the health of the life science industry as a material risk. Policy changes at the FDA, NIH, and SEC — or reductions in government spending and research funding — could materially affect tenants' ability to secure capital for research and development or to commercialize products, in turn impairing their ability to make rental payments. A partial or complete government shutdown could delay commercialization timelines or reduce R&D funding, exposing the portfolio to tenant financial stress beyond typical real estate credit risk.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Office

From Alexandria Real Estate Equities's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
REIT tenant concentration cliff: 53% of NOI from investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.
Concentration risk — Property Type: life science
Concentration risk — Tenant: investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (53.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-60.0
Mkt Cap$9.2B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn-36.1%
ROE-4.1%
Rev Growth-11.5%
Beta1.20
Dividend5.46%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertylife science
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on the health of the life science industry, and changes within this industry...may adversely impact their ability to make rental payments to us'
  • HIGHTenantinvestment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants53%
    10-K Item 1: 'Investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants represented 53% of our total annual rental revenue in effect as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -11.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.8
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
2.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
6.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
2.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 546.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEREIT TENANT CLIFF HARD BLOCKDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.81Resistance $55.14

Price Targets

$49
$54
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! REIT_TENANT_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $53.17, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 53% of NOI from investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Property Type: life science. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $49.45. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ARE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.04 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $49.45. Stop-loss: $49.45.

What are the risks of investing in ARE?

REIT tenant concentration cliff: 53% of NOI from investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Property Type: life science; Concentration risk — Tenant: investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants (53.0%).

Is ARE overvalued or undervalued?

Alexandria Real Estate Equities trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -60.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARE?

22 analysts cover ARE with a consensus score of 3.2/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Alexandria Real Estate Equities do?Alexandria Real Estate Equities owns and operates 340 life science REIT properties in North America totaling...

Alexandria Real Estate Equities owns and operates 340 life science REIT properties in North America totaling approximately 39.4 million RSF, concentrated in Greater Boston, San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, and five other U.S. innovation cluster markets. The company earns rental income under primarily triple-net leases with pharmaceutical, biotech, and research institution tenants, with 90.9% portfolio occupancy and 53% of rental revenue from investment-grade or publicly traded large cap tenants as of December 31, 2025.

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