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Applovin Corporation (APP) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

AppLovin Corporation provides end-to-end artificial intelligence-powered advertising solutions for businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Apps. The company offers Axon Ads Manager, a suite of marketing solutions... Read more

$435.82+26.2% upside
Score 6.0/10Entry $414.22Target $551.28Reward/Risk 2.7:1

TrendMatrix rates Applovin Corporation (APP) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $435.82 with +26.2% upside to the $551.28 price target. Overall score: 6.0/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 2.7:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val4.6Qual8.3Grw10.0Mom2.9Sent5.8Ins2.8Peer6.0Tech5.3Risk4.46.0OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0
- Negative momentum
- Insider selling

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)43.5
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$147.8B
EV/EBITDA36.5
Profit Mgn60.8%
ROE212.9%
Rev Growth65.9%
Beta2.50
DividendNone
Analysts34
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APP stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Applovin Corporation (APP) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with moderate confidence. Score 6.0/10. Entry target: $414.22.

What is the APP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $551.28 (+26.2% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $393.92.

What are the risks of investing in APP?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Negative momentum; Insider selling.

Is APP overvalued or undervalued?

Applovin Corporation trades at a P/E of 43.5 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APP?

34 analysts cover APP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $649.

What does Applovin Corporation do?AppLovin Corporation provides end-to-end artificial intelligence-powered advertising solutions for businesses in the...

AppLovin Corporation provides end-to-end artificial intelligence-powered advertising solutions for businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Apps. The company offers Axon Ads Manager, a suite of marketing solutions that enables developers to automate, optimize, and manage marketing efforts; MAX, an in-app bidding technology that optimizes the value of a publisher's advertising inventory by running a real-time competitive auction; Adjust, a measurement and analytics marketing platform; and Wurl, a connected TV platform, which distributes streaming video for content companies, provides advertising and publishing solutions. It serves individuals, small and independent businesses, enterprises, advertisers and advertising networks, mobile app publishers, and indie studio developers. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

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29 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $406.10Res $520.36

Price Targets

$394
$414
$551
Upside+26.2%
Reward/Risk2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHIGH
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:2.9<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
FALLING KNIFETEMP HEADWINDSuitability: Aggressive
Risk/Reward 3.8>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 2.9<5.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)